Colder than normal temperatures could trigger extreme upside volatility for natural gas prices this winter, according to industry experts. In a webinar Tuesday hosted by Refinitiv and NGI, a panel of experts said numerous factors have converged to create a far tighter market than what is normally seen at this time of year. “I traded…
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Natural Gas Forward Prices Extend Rally; Cooler Outlook, Bearish Storage Starting to Ease Storage Worries
Natural gas forward curves blew up for a fourth consecutive week during the trading period from Sept. 9-15 as lingering production outages continued to perpetuate supply concerns ahead of the peak winter season. October forward prices rallied by an average 47.0 cents, and November shot up 54.0 cents on average, according to NGI’s Forward Look.…
Aside from Appalachia and West Coast, Looser Balances See Natural Gas Forwards Tumble
Loosening balances, evidenced by a weekly inventory build that overshot major surveys, accompanied declines in forward prices for most of the Lower 48 during the Aug. 12-18 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Nymex September futures experienced some up-and-down action, but on the whole lost ground during the Aug. 12-18 time frame, including a…
As Peak Summer Heat Passes, Natural Gas Forwards Slump
With the hottest temperatures of the summer expected to soon reside in the market’s rearview, natural gas forwards receded during the Aug. 5-11 trading week, including large markdowns in the western United States, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Discounts of around a dime or more in fixed price prompt-month forwards were the norm for most…
Stagnating Natural Gas Production a Boon to Northeast Forward Prices; Structural Drivers Behind Overall Rally
Natural gas forward markets rebounded sharply for the trading period ending Aug. 4 as widespread sweltering heat set to return sounded the alarm once again that U.S. storage inventories are on pace to fall uncomfortably short ahead of winter. September forward prices averaged 20.0 cents higher for the July 29-Aug. 4 period, according to NGI’s…
After Days-Long Rally, Natural Gas Forward Prices Retreat but Storage Concerns Simmering
After a massive rise in the prior week, natural gas forwards softened a bit in the trading period ending July 7. Cooler weather and returning production contributed to a 7.0-cent decline in August prices, with small decreases extending through the remainder of summer (August-October), according to NGI’s Forward Look. Winter forward prices also fell, but…
Tight Supply, Demand Balance Pushes Natural Gas Forwards Higher
Mirroring the recent bullish summer run for Henry Hub futures, natural gas forwards rose from coast-to-coast during the June 17-23 trading period. Indications of a tight supply/demand balance, coupled with an overall bullish temperature outlook, saw natural gas prices maintain their upward momentum. Spurred by a bullish surprise in the latest Energy Information Administration (EIA)…
Easing Premiums Out West an Exception as July Natural Gas Forwards Climb
Aside from moderating premiums in western markets, natural gas forwards marched higher during the June 10-16 trading period. Supply risks served to push July Nymex prices higher, while technical factors and a somewhat cooler look to the weather picture toward the back half of June helped limit gains. July fixed prices at Henry Hub surged…
Summer Heat, Appalachian Supply Concerns Fuel Natural Gas Forward Price Rally
Big basis moves in Appalachia and on the West Coast highlighted natural gas forwards trading during the June 3-9 period, while a sufficiently hot forecast helped propel a broader move higher for the Lower 48 overall, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Fixed prices for July delivery were higher week/week by around 10-15 cents at numerous…
Natural Gas Forwards Ripe for Further Momentum, but Lack of Heat, Hefty Storage Builds Pushing Back
With hot weather starting to penetrate parts of the United States and export demand expected to return to near-record levels following spring maintenance, natural gas forward prices strengthened for the trading period ending May 26, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Gains were weighted to the front of the curve, with June prices rising an average…