Forward Look

California Heat Drives Big Gains for Natural Gas Forward Prices; Exports Fueling Upside Risk for Futures

California Heat Drives Big Gains for Natural Gas Forward Prices; Exports Fueling Upside Risk for Futures

Though widespread summer heat keeps getting kicked down the road, natural gas forward prices strengthened for the trading period ending May 12 as export demand led markets higher. June forwards rose an average 4.0 cents, with similar gains seen through next winter (November 2021-March 2022), according to NGI’s Forward Look. Larger increases were seen in…

May 14, 2021
Natural Gas Forward Curves Hit Pause After Recent Gains, but Backdrop Increasingly Supportive

Natural Gas Forward Curves Hit Pause After Recent Gains, but Backdrop Increasingly Supportive

Shoulder-season doldrums took hold of natural gas forward curves for the trading period ending May 5 as mild weather stole some of the momentum away from strong export demand. June forward prices averaged exactly flat for the period amid a mix of small gains and losses, while the balance of summer (June-October) eked out a…

May 7, 2021
Export Demand Driving Summer Optimism, but Storage Concerns Starting to Simmer

Export Demand Driving Summer Optimism, but Storage Concerns Starting to Simmer

Riding the momentum from rallying futures prices as the natural gas market begins to look optimistically toward summer, forwards firmed by the double digits throughout much of the Lower 48 during the April 22-28 trading week, NGI Forward Look data show. With continued strength in export volumes — via liquefied natural gas (LNG) and pipeline…

April 30, 2021
Modest Recovery for Natural Gas Forwards Foreshadows Increasingly Tight Balances This Summer

Modest Recovery for Natural Gas Forwards Foreshadows Increasingly Tight Balances This Summer

Lingering cold weather and strong export demand fueled a modest rebound for natural gas forward prices across North America during the trading period from April 15-21, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Falling prices on the U.S. East Coast, however, brought the overall average down at the front of the curve, while more notable gains were…

April 23, 2021
Natural Gas Forwards Rally as LNG, Mexican Exports Firing on All Cylinders; Further Momentum Likely

Natural Gas Forwards Rally as LNG, Mexican Exports Firing on All Cylinders; Further Momentum Likely

April chills brought higher futures prices and modest shoulder season gains for natural gas forwards throughout the Lower 48 during the trading week ending April 14, according to NGI’s Forward Look. For the April 8-14 period, fixed prompt-month prices at Henry Hub added 10 cents to average $2.619/MMBtu. Stronger prices at the national benchmark, which…

April 16, 2021
Natural Gas Forwards Slide Amid ‘Sleepy Shoulder Season,’ but Fundamentals ‘Still Look Solid’

Natural Gas Forwards Slide Amid ‘Sleepy Shoulder Season,’ but Fundamentals ‘Still Look Solid’

A major revision in the April weather forecast coming back from the Easter weekend took a big chunk out of natural gas forward prices for the period ending April 8. The short work week ended with the May contract down an average 10.0 cents and the balance of summer (May-October) off 7.0 cents, according to…

April 9, 2021
LNG Demand Drives Small Gains for U.S. Natural Gas Forward Prices, but Warm Temps Soften Northeast Curves

LNG Demand Drives Small Gains for U.S. Natural Gas Forward Prices, but Warm Temps Soften Northeast Curves

Natural gas forward prices posted modest increases across the majority of U.S. markets for the trading week ending March 24, buoyed largely by record export demand, according to NGI’s Forward Look. With the spring shoulder season underway, gas bulls have struggled to gain momentum in recent weeks. Aside from stormy weather patterns that could drive…

March 26, 2021
Natural Gas Forward Prices Slip as Market Eyeing Near-Term Bottom

Natural Gas Forward Prices Slip as Market Eyeing Near-Term Bottom

Natural gas prices trimmed about a nickel or so from the forward curve as spring appears to have sprung a couple of weeks early. The April contract was down 6 cents on average for the March 4-10 period, while the summer strip (April-October) was down 4.0 cents, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Similar losses were…

March 12, 2021
Small Gains for Natural Gas Forwards as LNG Demand Roars Back; More Upside May Wait Until After Spring

Small Gains for Natural Gas Forwards as LNG Demand Roars Back; More Upside May Wait Until After Spring

Shoulder season may be setting in across U.S. natural gas forward markets weeks ahead of schedule, with modest price changes seen across the country, according to NGI’s Forward Look.  A quick return to business as usual following last month’s historic winter freeze combined with near-perfect temperatures to drive April forward prices up only 6.0 cents…

March 5, 2021
Steep Natural Gas Price Losses Leave Forwards ‘Significantly Undervalued’

Steep Natural Gas Price Losses Leave Forwards ‘Significantly Undervalued’

Massive declines spread across natural gas forward markets for the trading period ending Wednesday, fueled primarily by a return to the warm weather pattern that has characterized most of the winter season.  A quick ramp in production following last week’s historic winter storm also served as a headwind for prices, with March averaging 34.0 cents…

February 26, 2021
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