Sabine Pass to Asia Arbitrage Spreads Snapshot

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Location: Sabine Pass to Asia Arbitrage Spreads
Pointcode: LARBASIA
Jun-24: x.xxx
Jul-24: x.xxx
Aug-24: x.xxx
Sep-24: x.xxx
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Nov-24: x.xxx
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Sabine Pass to Asia Arbitrage Spreads Description: Our Sabine Pass to Asia LNG Arbitrage Spreads represent the gross margin of shipping LNG from Sabine Pass along the U.S. Gulf of Mexico to Asia. Specifically, we start with 115% of the Henry Hub price for each of the next twelve months, and add to that estimated variable shipping costs to transport LNG from Sabine Pass to the Futtsu regasification terminal near Tokyo, Japan. We then subtract that total from Japan/Korea natural gas prices, and if those differences are positive, then shipping LNG from Sabine Pass to Asia is considered to be in the money for each particular month.
  • What do NGI’s 12-month Arbitrage Curves represent?

    NGI’s 12-month Arbitrage Curves show the economics of shipping LNG from Sabine Pass to Asia (to the Futtsu import facility near Tokyo, Japan) or from Sabine Pass to Europe (to the Gate import terminal in Rotterdam, the Netherlands) over the next year. Find out more about NGI’s LNG Methodology & How to Read Guide here.

  • How could NGI’s 12-month Arbitrage Curves inform my business decisions?

    Arbitrage spreads are key to determining whether U.S. LNG is “in the money.” Negative, or very low spreads to key markets in Asia and Europe, are a leading indicator of U.S. LNG terminal shut-ins. When offtakers can’t make a premium overseas, they’re inclined to cancel cargo loadings, which their contracts generally allow up to 60 days in advance of scheduled offtake from U.S. terminals. The more profitable U.S. LNG is, the greater the demand for North American natural gas, which can have an impact on local prices as well. Access NGI’s LNG Methodology & How to Read Guide here.