Forward Look

Spring Thaw Sends Natural Gas Forward Prices Lower, but War Still Driving Long-Term Strength

Spring Thaw Sends Natural Gas Forward Prices Lower, but War Still Driving Long-Term Strength

Even with Russia’s war in Ukraine raging, U.S. natural gas forward prices took a step down during the March 24-30 period amid thawing spring temperatures and moderating demand, NGI’s Forward Look showed. Benchmark Henry Hub set the tone for the week, with volatility still heightened as global energy markets continued to respond to Russia’s invasion…

April 1, 2022
Robust Demand, Slow Production Growth and Storage Deficits Feed Natural Gas Bulls’ Extended Rally

Robust Demand, Slow Production Growth and Storage Deficits Feed Natural Gas Bulls’ Extended Rally

A tightening backdrop in the natural gas market – in part because of unrelenting export demand and its impact on domestic supplies – fueled continued momentum for forward prices through the trading period ending March 23.  Fixed prices rallied by as much as 25.0 cents for the April contract, with similarly plump increases seen throughout…

March 25, 2022
Chillier Look for Late-Winter Forecast Lifts Natural Gas Forwards

Chillier Look for Late-Winter Forecast Lifts Natural Gas Forwards

Modest strengthening in the late-winter, weather-driven demand outlook and lagging production helped drive widespread gains for natural gas forwards during the March 10-16 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show.  Week/week gains of around 10-25 cents characterized price action at most Lower 48 hubs, paced by a 22.2-cent gain for fixed price April trading at…

March 18, 2022
Spring’s Early Arrival Sinks Natural Gas Forwards, but Russian War Could Spark More Volatility Ahead

Spring’s Early Arrival Sinks Natural Gas Forwards, but Russian War Could Spark More Volatility Ahead

Natural gas forward prices broke free from oil and other commodities during the March 3-9 period, sending prices sliding ahead of an expected warmup next week, according to NGI’s Forward Look. April fixed prices fell an average 20.0 cents during that time, while the summer strip (April-October) came off 14.0 cents on average, Forward Look…

March 11, 2022
Natural Gas Forward Prices Finish Volatile Week Higher as Ukrainian Crisis Drives Sentiment

Natural Gas Forward Prices Finish Volatile Week Higher as Ukrainian Crisis Drives Sentiment

Natural gas forwards bounced back from a late-February slump as the fallout from Russia’s attack on Ukraine exposed the far reaching consequences of the war. Armed with the potential for chilly weather to return to the Lower 48, April fixed prices rallied by an average 14.0 cents from Feb. 24-March 2, according to NGI’s Forward…

March 4, 2022
Winter’s End in Sight as Natural Gas Forwards Recede; Ukraine Crisis Drives Uncertainty

Winter’s End in Sight as Natural Gas Forwards Recede; Ukraine Crisis Drives Uncertainty

With the end of winter in clear view and March forecasts far from threatening, natural gas forward prices retreated throughout the Lower 48 during the Feb. 17-23 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. March fixed price forwards at benchmark Henry Hub shed 9.4 cents during the period to average $4.633/MMBtu. Front month fixed price…

February 25, 2022
Bulls on Defensive in Natural Gas Forwards Market as Forecasts Advertise Warm-Up

Bulls on Defensive in Natural Gas Forwards Market as Forecasts Advertise Warm-Up

With signs of a February warm-up going a long way toward assuaging any lingering supply concerns, natural gas forwards plummeted during the Feb. 2-9 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Shedding value like a winter coat on an unseasonably warm sunny afternoon, benchmark Henry Hub fixed price trades plunged $1.492 to average $4.019/MMBtu during…

February 11, 2022
February Basis Premiums Moderate Before Cold Provokes Wild Futures Rally

February Basis Premiums Moderate Before Cold Provokes Wild Futures Rally

Implying easing concerns over winter price upside, the Jan. 19-26 trading period brought widespread basis discounts for February natural gas forwards, while a borderline absurd futures rally served up a reminder that heating season volatility is far from over. Hubs across the Northeast, Rockies, Midcontinent and West Coast posted week/week February basis discounts of anywhere…

January 28, 2022
Natural Gas Forwards Nosedive as Weather Models Struggle with Current Cold’s Durability

Natural Gas Forwards Nosedive as Weather Models Struggle with Current Cold’s Durability

Natural gas traders turned a blind eye to some of the coldest weather of the winter descending upon the country, sending natural gas forward prices plummeting across the country during the trading period from Jan. 13-19, NGI’s Forward Look showed. While fixed prices for the February contract came off as much as $2.610/MMBtu at a…

January 21, 2022
Winter Discounts the Norm for Natural Gas Forwards; West Coast Basis Widens

Winter Discounts the Norm for Natural Gas Forwards; West Coast Basis Widens

As natural gas traders in the western United States braced for higher demand, prices throughout the rest of the country continued to erode during the five-day Dec. 2-8 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. January fixed price trades for delivery at Henry Hub fell 44.3 cents week/week to $3.835/MMBtu, and most Lower 48 hubs…

December 10, 2021
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