Forecast

Energy demand contraction triggered by Covid-19 lockdown measures has drastically reduced U.S. fuel consumption, but a cold winter could boost heating oil consumption as more people continue to work from home, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said Tuesday. The oil cartel issued its global winter forecast in the latest Monthly Oil Market…

Despite anticipated increases in productivity per rig across seven key U.S. producing regions, overall oil and gas output from these areas is expected to fall across the board from October to November, according to updated numbers released Tuesday by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The agency’s latest Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) projects that total natural…

U.S. tight oil production should recover quickly as world energy demand recovers from Covid-19, but Lower 48 output may not again hit its previous forecasts, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said Thursday. The Saudi-led oil cartel, aka OPEC, in its flagship 14th annual World Oil Outlook (WOO), cited the “unprecedented scale and impact”…

Production in the Permian Basin will likely decline through the year but then begin to increase through at least 2026, even if prices do not rise significantly, according to analysts. “We see the Permian as a relative winner among domestic basins given favorable production economics, independent of a call on higher commodity prices,” the Morgan…

Shrinking production, growing exports and somewhat colder weather should see this winter’s natural gas prices trend upward compared with last winter, even as the Covid-19 pandemic threatens to hinder demand, according to new projections from the Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA). Total exports, both by way of liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals and via pipeline…

The Covid-19 pandemic’s crushing impact to energy demand and prices has led the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, aka OPEC, to again reduce its forecast for oil into 2020. The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Tuesday also reduced for the second consecutive month its outlook for oil demand. IEA also warned that Covid-19 may…

The Permian Basin is the only one of the seven major producing areas of the Lower 48 forecast to see an increase in natural gas and oil output in October month/month, according to a forecast by the Energy Information Administration. In the monthly Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) issued on Monday, EIA researchers estimated that overall,…

A “pronounced shift” to renewables, combined with a shift to electricity and hydrogen, led BP plc to reduce its annual forecast for global natural gas as a primary energy source. The annual Energy Outlook was introduced on Monday by chief economist Spencer Dale during a webcast. The economics team led by Spencer Dale used Rapid,…

Although global oil demand has come roaring back to about 89% of pre-coronavirus levels, it is expected to plateau around 92-95 million b/d, or 92-95% of pre-Covid levels through the first quarter of 2021, according to a new analysis by IHS Markit. “The meteoric rise of world oil demand from the lowest lows of the…