U.S. LNG exports would have an inherent but limited impact on domestic natural gas prices through the next several decades, possibly driving the Henry Hub to a range between $3.30 and $4.30/MMBtu by 2050, according to a recent U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) analysis.

Using several scenarios and the EIA’s latest Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) dataset, researchers modeled how international gas prices, global supply and the buildout of export projects could impact domestic prices.

As the liquefied natural gas industry ties the U.S. natural gas supply closer to global markets, the EIA found international gas prices would moderately influence U.S. prices and production through mid century.

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