Rally

The drop in demand over an extra-long holiday weekend and aforecasted trend of more moderate temperatures in some market areastowards the end of the weekend were enough to drag cash priceslower Wednesday. But due to a big last-minute screen jump and avery large storage withdrawal number, sources predicted asubstantial rebound this week.

It had seemed that Wednesday afternoon’s large screen uptickfollowing the storage report might be the tonic needed by alistless cash market to regain its previous strength Thursday.Instead, a humongous Nymex downturn and fresh forecasts thatweather next week might not be as cold as anticipated combined tosend most cash prices lower by a dime or so. Gains were rare andsmall.

With little in the way of fresh news on either the fundamentalor technical front, natural gas futures were left to limp lazilysideways Friday within a fairly tight 14.5-cent range. At theclosing bell, the December contract finished right about in themiddle, narrowly eking out at 1.1-cent gain to finish at $5.456.Activity was light as some traders observed the Veteran’s Dayholiday.

No news was good news for bulls in the natural gas pit yesterdayas prices bubbled higher late in the session in accordance with thelong-term bull trend. Very little in the way of fresh fundamentalnews was seen to bully prices in either direction and as a resultthe market spent most of the session inside the 10-cent tradingrange etched during the first half hour of trading.

Buoyed by cold weather in the Northeast U.S. and in sympathywith higher heating oil prices, natural gas futures checked higherin light holiday trading Monday as traders covered shorts initiatedin last week’s sell-off. At the closing bell the November contractwas 14.2 cents higher at $5.15.

Following a two-week, 65-cent price rally, natural gas bulls cooled their heels yesterday and took profits on a portion of their holdings. That, along with sell-stop loss orders that were tripped on the way down conspired to push October futures back below the psychologically important $5.00 level.

Natural gas futures continued to defy gravity Friday when a laterally nullified losses achieved earlier in the session. Afterposting an early low of $4.395, September rumbled higher to closeat $4.475 and in doing so, posted a gain for the ninth straightsession. Estimated volume was extremely light, with only 37,841contracts changing hands.

This week’s cash market rally apparently was running out ofsteam Wednesday. Eastern points were mostly flat, with a fewNortheast citygates dropping about a nickel. And except forisolated San Juan Basin and Malin gains, the West ranged from flatto more than a dime lower.

Following on the heels of a two-day, 44-cent price rally,natural gas futures continued higher as bullish technical andfundamental clues put traders in the buying mode early yesterday.However, after peaking at $4.29 shortly after 11:00 p.m (EST), theSeptember contract chopped lower throughout the afternoon to settleat $4.25.