Hodgepodge

The November aftermarket started out with a hodgepodge of price movement compared with both first-of-month indexes and end-of-October numbers. Generally the West could be characterized as moderately stronger in both instances Wednesday, while eastern points tended to range from flat to a few cents lower. But there were discrepancies, primarily in the East where scattered points realized gains from gas traded for Oct. 31 flow.

The Christmas weekend market was a true hodgepodge of pricemovement. Friday’s changes ranged from more than $2 lower in theNorthern Natural Gas market area, despite a pipeline OFO still ineffect after nearly two weeks, to more than $2 higher in both ofTransco’s Zone 6 pools. Other points were arrayed at variouspositions in between, but most were flat to 20 cents down.

In the hodgepodge of trading for split weekend periods Friday,little trend was evident other than the October aftermarket wasstarting out below indexes in nearly all cases. However, a fellownamed Keith could play a large part in reversing the generallysofter market as early as today.

Monday’s spot trading yielded a hodgepodge of results, with hotweather in both the East and West being the primary market force.Despite an appeal for electricity conservation in New England asregional power utilities strained to meet demand, gas prices thereshowed little change. But a western heat wave had quotes rangingfrom flat to more than a nickel higher.

Normally natural gas futures are influenced by a hodgepodge offactors: storage, technicals, support, resistance, supply anddemand. Of course last week was anything but normal as a hurricanewhich the market has not seen the likes of since Andrew, wasbearing down on the Gulf of Mexico leaving a wide swath ofdestruction in its wake. Now the question to be answered is whetherHurricane Georges (pronounced ZHORZH) will not only live in theminds of residents of Florida and the Carribean Islands, but alsoin the memories of natural gas traders. That was still a very murkyquestion as of Friday. One thing was becoming evident late lastweek: October’s expiration today will be anything but normal. But,despite the continued threat of storm, the October actually slipped0.2 cents to settle at $2.181 on Friday.