Bulls

Natural gas futures were hit with another wave of selling earlyFriday as traders added to losses incurred during Thursday’s25-cent price slide. However after notching its lowest price inthree weeks at $2.87, the December contract worked its way higherto settle at $2.961, a 0.4-cent loss for the day.

Natural gas futures exploded higher yesterday as traders weredealt a royal flush of bullish factors that included much belownormal temperatures on the horizon for much of the country and anew storm brewing in the Caribbean Sea. After opening at $2.98, theNovember contract moved higher, piercing resistance at $3.03 beforerelaxing to finish at $3.007, up 8.7 cents for the session.

Fresh from a gargantuan six-day, 72-cent price retreat, thenatural gas futures market regained its composure Friday, asscale-down buyers took advantage of lower prices, and new shortscovered positions into the holiday weekend. The October contractclosed up 9 cents at $2.561 in an abbreviated pre-holiday session.

Wednesday’s suspicions that a weeklong run-up in cash prices,which hesitated only on Monday before starting to climb again, wascoming to an end proved well founded Thursday. A sharply droppingscreen, the continued lack of any significant storm threat toproduction and mild weather in the major market areas of theMidwest and Northeast combined to pull down eastern quotes byamounts on either side of a dime. Declines tended to be smaller inthe West, ranging from flat at a few Rockies points to as much as 8cents in the Northern California market.

Natural gas futures surged again yesterday amid concerns thatproduction shortfalls associated with a sudden barrage of tropicalstorm and hurricane activity will put pressure on an already tightsupply-demand situation. Fresh off a 28-cent price run late lastweek, the September contract tacked on an additional 12.6 centsyesterday to finish at $3.064 after notching a fresh high at $3.08.Estimated volume was healthy, with 101,460 contracts changinghands.

For the third morning in a row natural gas futures gapped higherat the open before continuing upward as traders covered shortpositions in anticipation of Tropical Storm Bret becoming the firsthurricane in the 1999 Atlantic season. But after notching a $3.015high shortly after noon, the September contract was hit with a waveof profit-taking that delivered the spot month back down to settleat $2.938. Estimated volume was healthy, with 99,927 contractschanging hands.

After etching a $2.66 low early yesterday, the futures marketmoved higher on continued speculative buying pressure and bullishconcerns over today’s release of fresh storage data. The Septembercontract finished at $2.708, up 0.8 cents on the day.

Buoyed by another day of strong demand in the physical market,the futures market trended higher Friday in a choppy, range-boundtrading session. After opening just two pennies above Thursday’slow of $2.67, the September contract rumbled 2.2 cents higher onthe day to finish at $2.745.

Thursday’s trading confirmed the signs from Wednesday that therecent bullishness in swing prices had reached a peak. Although afew points were flat to 2-3 cents higher Thursday, the majorityfell by several cents, with the greatest weakness occurring in theMidcontinent/Midwest and Southwest markets. Cash anticipated afutures downswing and beat the screen to the punch by starting tosoften earlier, a Midcontinent marketer said, although Nymextraders eventually wound up the day with a small gain.