Bears

Natural gas futures seesawed to either side of unchanged only tofinish just a fraction of a cent higher yesterday as a late roundof fund buying retraced losses stemming from commercial and localselling earlier in the session.

After suffering expiration-day losses in both regular and Accesstrading sessions Wednesday, natural gas futures made a feebleattempt at higher ground before ultimately slipping lower at theclosing bell yesterday. With that the May contract finished itsfirst day as prompt month with a 3.5 cent decline to $2.83. Volumewas extremely weak with just 48,969 contracts changing hands.

After gapping lower at the open, natural gas futures followed aslippery downward slope yesterday as traders liquidated positionsamid bearish technicals and ahead of warming temperatures expectedlater this week. In contrast to light selling seen last week,yesterday’s weakness manifested itself across the entire strip ofcontracts, led by the May contract which tumbled 7.6 cents to$2.744. Comparatively, the prompt contract eased 7.1 cents to$2.714 and the 12-month strip gave back 5.4 cents to $2.867.Trading was active, with an estimated 63,810 contracts changinghands.

After trading up to, but not through, stubborn resistanceMonday, natural gas futures eased yesterday as fund tradersliquidated a portion of their long positions amid bearish technicalconditions and ahead of warming temperatures expected in theNortheast U.S later this week.

Although yesterday afternoon was filled with bearish weather andfutures market news, an early morning futures screen rally combinedwith large price jumps in the Northeast to lead most points on thesurvey to increases of a few cents to more than a nickel.

In what may have been a Pyrrhic victory, bears were successfulpushing futures prices lower Wednesday amid reconfirmed reports ofwarm weather expected this weekend and next week. Prices for theMarch contract finished the session down 5.4 cents at $2.564 inwhat several sources called a lackluster trading session.

Despite warming temperatures across much of the nation andforecasts calling for more of the same, natural gas futuresrebounded yesterday, as traders covered shorts amid heavilyoversold conditions and ahead of potentially “very bullish” storagedata to be released today.

It was in like a lion and out like a lamb for March’s debut asthe spot month Friday as traders took the contract higher at theopening bell only to deliver it lower throughout the rest of thesession. March finished down 1.7 cents at $2.532.

Amid a devastating combination of rising temperatures andfalling cash prices the natural gas futures market started the yearwith a crash Tuesday, as commercial and speculative traders alikeliquidated their long positions and added to their shorts. Theprice impact was felt immediately, with the February contractgapping a whopping 10 cents lower en route to a 15.3-cent loss tosettle at $2.176. Despite the sizeable move lower, estimated volumewas a relatively modest 62,491.