Analyst

Analyst Predicts Increased Gas Reserves

A veteran natural gas reserve and production expert has issued abearish warning to natural gas market observers: 1998 total reserveadditions could jump as much as 3 Tcf from 1997’s figure to between22 and 23 Tcf. That would be well above the range of 14.9 to 20.2Tcf over the last nine years. With 1998 production estimated atabout 19 Tcf the forecast adds up to reserve additions exceedingproduction by 116% to 121%.

October 21, 1999

BT Alex. Brown Raises Price, Earnings Forecasts

BT Alex. Brown analyst Adam Sieminski said he expects U.S. gasprices to average $2.10/MMBtu this year, which is up 15 cents fromhis previous forecast of $1.95/MMBtu, because of rising demand,declining wellhead deliverability and the falling storage surpluscompared to last year. Sieminski said the tightness in marketfundamentals will peak this winter and carry strong prices throughnext year. He raised his forecast for prices in 2000 to $2.40 froma previous estimate of $2.20.

May 31, 1999

BT Alex. Brown Raises Price, Earnings Forecasts

BT Alex. Brown analyst Adam Sieminski said he expects U.S. gasprices to average $2.10/MMBtu this year, which is up 15 cents fromhis previous forecast of $1.95/MMBtu, because of rising demand,declining wellhead deliverability and the falling storage surpluscompared to last year. Sieminski said the tightness in marketfundamentals will peak this winter and carry strong prices throughnext year. He raised his forecast for prices in 2000 to $2.40 froma previous estimate of $2.20.

May 25, 1999

Producers Advised to Reinvent the Business

The only thing John Olson, senior energy analyst for SandersMorris and Mundy, needed last week following his speech at aproducers’ conference on gas supply and demand at the Canadianembassy in Washington, D.C., was a producer to volunteer to step upon stage and be slapped around.

February 1, 1999

Olson: Producers are Doing It All Wrong

The only thing John Olson, energy analyst for Sanders Morris andMundy, needed yesterday following his speech at a producers’conference on gas supply and demand at the Canadian embassy inWashington, D.C., was a producer to volunteer to step up on stageand be slapped around.

January 29, 1999

Analyst Predicts Electrics Will Swallow Gas

Anyone working for a gas company today won’t be in a few yearsif a prediction of BT Alex Brown Managing Director Edward TirelloJr. comes true. “On convergence, I believe that the electriccompanies will buy up all of the gas companies over the next fiveyears, and that will be the end of it.”

December 14, 1998

Analyst: Electrics Will Swallow Gas Companies

Anyone working for a gas company today won’t be in a few yearsif a prediction of BT Alex Brown Managing Director Edward TirelloJr. comes true. “On convergence, I believe that the electriccompanies will buy up all of the gas companies over the next fiveyears, and that will be the end of it.”

December 9, 1998

June Natural Gas Futures Take an 8-Cent Hit

The June Nymex contract spiraled 8.0 cents lower to $2.130 onWednesday, thanks to what an analyst said was traders unloadinglong positions ahead of the latest AGA storage report. That report,which came in at 78 Bcf, was slightly above the expected range of50-75 Bcf, and nearly double the 46 Bcf report from last year.

May 7, 1998

Analyst Sees Widespread Divestiture of Market Affiliates

Non-regulated utility marketing affiliates may become a thing ofthe past, not as a result of forced divestiture but of voluntaryseparation, according to Hagler Bailly Consulting’s Ken Malloy.

April 28, 1998
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