Rebounded

After posting a negative open, natural gas futures rebounded strongly Tuesday to notch its fourth-straight higher close, as both speculative and commercial traders loaded up on long positions in anticipation of the formation of Tropical Storm Isidore in the Caribbean. As it turns out, that buying was enough to press prices to a new four-month high at $3.695. Slipping only slightly to close at $3.679, the October contract finished 24.9 cents above its earlier low and 17.2 cents above Monday’s settle. Estimated at 113,063, volume in the gas pit was extremely heavy.

After probing to new lows just after the opening bell, natural gas futures rebounded Monday morning as traders covered shorts initiated during the recent string of losses. However, no sooner had the February contract notched an impressive $2.35 high, than sellers were back at work, rescinding the morning’s advances. The prompt month spiraled lower into the close, finishing the day with a 0.3-cent decline at $2.272.

Shrugging off Thursday’s expiration-day sell-off, natural gas futures rebounded Friday, as traders took their cue from cold weather expected over the weekend and stronger cash market prices. The newly-crowned spot month February received the biggest buying boost, advancing 15.5 cents to finish the week at $2.774. Estimated volume of just 53,169 was evidence many traders elected to remain on the sidelines ahead of the weekend.

Following a two-day, 25-cent price slide, natural gas futures rebounded modestly Friday as traders covered shorts ahead of the weekend and in anticipation of cooler temperatures this week. Also supportive on Friday was an up-tick in crude oil prices, which advanced 58 cents to finish at $18.03. The December natural gas contract experienced a similar bounce, gaining 8.6 cents to close at $2.637.

The Rockies market rebounded Tuesday from Monday’s depths, with prices reported back in the $1.60s at Opal and a dime less on CIG, which had been in the $1.20s on Monday. However, few explanations were given. Weather there is still warmer than normal and is expected the stay that way in the short term.

Stemming the selling pressure set in motion by Wednesday’s storage report, the natural gas futures market rebounded mid-morning Thursday as traders contemplated a supply-demand balance that may be tighter than previously thought. In a rare twist, the 12-month strip gained more (9.5 cents) than either the winter strip (9 cents) or the prompt month (6.8 cents). November closed at $2.486, just off its daily high at $2.51.

Stemming a two-week, $1.25 price slide, natural gas futures rebounded last week amid neutral to bullish fundamental factors and increasing constructive technical clues. After carving out a fresh 19-month prompt month low by trading down to $2.255 earlier in the week, the October contract finished strongly at $2.50 Friday, up 6 cents for the session and just beneath its $2.53 high for the week.

Spot prices rebounded a quarter or more from weekend levels at most locations yesterday with many points exceeding bidweek levels in response to the futures increase on Nymex and some heating load in East Texas and California.

After thrice testing, but failing to break beneath support Thursday, natural gas futures rebounded at the New York Mercantile Exchange as traders put an end to a nine-day, 70-cent price slide. The June contract received the biggest buying boost, closing 4.4 cents higher at $4.527.