Market

Many market prognosticators have realized recently that theirgas price projections are quite a bit too low for the rest of theyear because of declining gas wellhead deliverability, a reducedstorage surplus relative to last year and ever increasing gasdemand. The Energy Information Administration joined that crowdlast week, raising its wellhead price forecast for the fourthquarter 25 cents to $2.41/Mcf.

Many market prognosticators have realized recently that theirgas price projections are quite a bit too low for the rest of theyear because of declining gas wellhead deliverability, a reducedstorage surplus relative to last year and ever increasing gasdemand. The Energy Information Administration joined that crowdyesterday, concluding its wellhead price forecast for the fourthquarter was 25 cents too low. It raised it to $2.41/Mcf in its MayShort Term Energy Outlook.

DTE Energy, Detroit Edison’s parent company, said last week itis in the market to acquire a natural gas supplier. The company isin exploratory stages right now but hopes to have some kind ofagreement by the end of this year, a DTE official said at thecompany’s annual meeting.

Opening up the electric market to retail trade in Canada and theU.S. “will reinforce the trend towards greater use of natural gasin power generation resulting from the development of combinedcycle gas turbine power plants,” according to George Given, authorof a new study by the Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI).

The current storage surplus and expected “normal” temperaturesthis summer (14% cooler than last summer) will continue to put adamper on spot prices until the fourth quarter of this year, theEnergy Information Administration predicted last week in itsShort-Term Energy Outlook. The EIA said wellhead prices shouldremain below $2/Mcf until November.

The current storage surplus and expected “normal” temperaturesthis summer (14% cooler than last summer) will continue to put adamper on spot prices until the fourth quarter of this year, theEnergy Information Administration predicted yesterday in itsShort-Term Energy Outlook. The EIA said wellhead prices shouldremain below $2/Mcf until November.

California’s experimental nonprofit electric transmission gridand wholesale spot power market operations – the Independent SystemOperator (ISO) and Power Exchange (PX), respectively – are clearlyworking toward becoming larger, multi-state regional operations,according to officials who marked the one-year anniversaries ofboth organizations March 31. A proposed new California law (SB 96)would make it easier for the state to enter compacts with otherwestern states to begin to form the regional power operations.

A storage report considered bearish by most traders set thestage for softness in the cash market Thursday, then a plungingfutures screen virtually guaranteed cash declines. Sure enough,nearly every point fell between 5 and 8 cents. “We’re just tradingdown with the screen,” said a Western marketer.

The cash market, which had been fairly consistent in overallprice movement for most of last week, went into the weekendstarting to diverge on an East-West axis. While Friday’s mix ofgains and losses amounted to a generally flat wash, Eastern pointstended to be flat to about a nickel higher, and their Westerncounterparts tended to range from flat to about a nickel lower.