futures

Absent anything in the way of new influences from weather orfutures, most of the market went into a holding pattern Thursday.Mild softness permeated much of the general flatness as what wasconsidered a bullish storage injection report Wednesday afternoonfailed to provide support for cash prices. Northeast citygates fellabout a nickel, resuming their decline after a brief respite fromthe softness that had prevailed since the first of the month.

Fueled by forecasts calling for cooler weather next week,natural gas futures rumbled higher yesterday as traders cashed inon newly established short positions. After opening above keyresistance at $2.36, the January contract moved sideways for mostof the session before erupting higher at the closing bell. TheJanuary contract finished just a fraction of a penny off its dailyhigh, up 8.9 cents to $2.393.

Despite warming temperatures, both forecasted and actual, thenatural gas market posted its second day of gains Thursday in atechnically driven trading session. After a strong open, theDecember contract received a boost from short covering by tradersbetting that the market may have reached a short-term bottom in thelow $2.40s. The prompt month finished at $2.496, up 4 cents on theday.

With the futures screen lending little to no direction to thecash market, weather took over as the dominant influence Tuesday.Existing and expected chilly temperatures caused gains between 4and 10 cents in the Gulf Coast and Midcontinent regions. Northeastpoints made the biggest moves of the day, with many jumping morethan 15 cents.

When futures took a steep dive after cash trading had beencompleted Thursday, it didn’t take a rocket scientist to predictthat cash prices would be headed into the dumpster Friday. Sureenough, quotes for the weekend were way down. Most of the declineswere between 10 and 25 cents, but some in Appalachia and theNortheast reached the 40-50 cents range. The smaller drops tendedto be concentrated at western points.

Fueled by a steady stream of short-covering, natural gas futuresambled higher for much of the session yesterday before erupting inthe last 30 minutes amid a frenzy of market-on-close buy orders.That enabled the November contract to push through recent highsabove $3.10 and settle up 8.1 cents at $3.092. Strength was equallyimpressive in the new prompt contract, December, which finished up7.5 cents at $3.223. Estimated volume across all contracts washeavy, with 112,119 positions changing hands.

Natural gas futures sifted lower Monday following news ofwarming East Coast temperatures and amid a weakening technicalpicture. After a disappointing sub-$3.00 opening, the Novembercontract chopped sideways Monday to settle at $3.016, off 5.6-centsfor the session. Volume was somewhat thin as only 63,328 contractschanged hands.

Cash prices rode a soaring October futures contract,stilll-strong power generation demand and the remote threat ofTropical Storm Floyd to higher levels again Thursday. Gains wereslowing down from Wednesday’s pace but ranged from 2-3 cents at afew points to about a dime at many of them.

Fresh from a gargantuan six-day, 72-cent price retreat, thenatural gas futures market regained its composure Friday, asscale-down buyers took advantage of lower prices, and new shortscovered positions into the holiday weekend. The October contractclosed up 9 cents at $2.561 in an abbreviated pre-holiday session.