Foreshadows

San Francisco-based PG&E Corp. reiterated it expected lenders to its merchant energy unit will continue to forbear the continuing defaults by its multi-billion-dollar nonutility businesses, but if push comes to shove, a bankruptcy filing or charges against last quarter or 2003 earnings eventually could be needed, the energy holding company said in a filing Monday with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Rising production in Canada — pushed by the Ladyfern discovery in Western Canada — could exacerbate a “temporary” natural gas oversupply situation in the United States, which in turn could lead to falling North American natural gas prices, lower earnings and declining cash flow estimates for 2002, according to Lehman Brothers analysts Thomas Driscoll and Phil Skolnick in a research note released last Thursday. This gas surge, said the analysts, could send gas prices falling to the $2.25-2.50/MMBtu range for a “sustained period of time” — meaning months, not weeks.

Rising production in Canada — pushed by the Ladyfern discovery in Western Canada — could exacerbate a “temporary” natural gas oversupply situation in the United States, which in turn could lead to falling North American natural gas prices, lower earnings and declining cash flow estimates for 2002, according to Lehman Brothers analysts Thomas Driscoll and Phil Skolnick in a research note released Thursday. This gas surge, said the analysts, could send gas prices falling to the $2.25-2.50/MMBtu range for a “sustained period of time” — meaning months, not weeks.