Cases

On the surface, a straightforward purchase of California’s second merchant underground natural gas storage facility is taking on major policy implications. It could provide a view next week of just how hard-and-fast the split is between pro-market and pro-enforcement regulators at the state regulatory commission.

In many cases cash prices were coming down Thursday about as fast as they had climbed Wednesday, and at some primarily western points Thursday’s losses were greater than the gains of the day before. A majority of drops were in the range of 30-40 cents, but overall they ran from as small as about 12 cents (Kosci) to nearly half a dollar (Transco Zone 6).

Although the agenda for Wednesday’s FERC meeting — the last one of 2001 — is top-heavy with electricity, there are several key natural gas items slated for action, ranging from stepped-up reporting of derivatives and hedging activities to the El Paso Natural Gas complaint investigation, to two embattled gas pipeline projects that have been pending at the Commission since the Hoecker administration.

Although the agenda for Wednesday’s FERC meeting — the last one of 2001 — is top-heavy in electricity, there are several key natural gas items slated for action, ranging from stepped-up reporting of derivatives and hedging activities to the El Paso Natural Gas complaint investigation, to two embattled gas pipeline projects that have been pending at the Commission for years.

The May aftermarket began at price levels considerably below first-of-month indexes in nearly all cases, and several traders advised against anyone holding their breath while awaiting an upturn of any significance. They cited a screen plunge Monday that was about twice as large as any of last week’s single-day drops, a general near-term weather outlook that remains on the benign side, and expectations of another big storage injection report (Lehman Brothers is projecting 70 Bcf).

Prices tended to flatten out in most cases Thursday, and severalsources believe that barring any drastic weather changes, themarket is due for more sideways trading for at least the next fewdays.

The cash market both calmed down and went further down in mostcases in Thursday’s activity. A majority of points ranged from flatto about 30 cents lower. The notable exceptions were declines ofabout 40 cents or more in California and Transco/Texas Easterncitygates in the Northeast, and on the opposite side of the coinwere gains in the Pacific Northwest and on some Rockies pipes.

Prices crept mildly higher in most cases Tuesday, continuing tofeed on an early preview of winter in much of the East. A greatmajority of points ranged from flat to about a nickel higher.Exceptions included downturns for Northwest-domestic, SouthernCalifornia border and a few Northeast citygates, along with aPG&E citygate gain of about 15 cents.

Prices continued to fall Tuesday, although by lesser amountsthan on Monday in most cases. The majority of Tuesday’s dropsranged from about a nickel to a little more than a dime, withisolated points such as the PG&E and Algonquin citygatesfalling by slightly more than 15 cents.