Forward Look

Oversupply Concerns Drag Natural Gas Forward Prices Lower

Oversupply Concerns Drag Natural Gas Forward Prices Lower

The selloff continued for the majority of U.S. natural gas forward markets in the final week of March as production proved too lofty amid declining weather-driven demand and healthy inventory levels.  The April contract rolled off the board between 10 and 20 cents lower, while the May contract – which took over the prompt-month position…

March 30, 2023
Spotlight on Southern California as Natural Gas Forward Prices Surge Amid Weak Macro Picture

Spotlight on Southern California as Natural Gas Forward Prices Surge Amid Weak Macro Picture

Against a consistent backdrop of lackluster natural gas demand, robust production, lagging exports and unseasonably solid storage inventories, forward prices continued to crumble during the March 16-22 period, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Natural gas fixed prices declined more than 30.0 cents on average for April, with several U.S. locations recording even steeper decreases for…

March 23, 2023
Natural Gas Forward Prices Slide Further Amid Stubborn Storage Surplus; Balances Remain Loose

Natural Gas Forward Prices Slide Further Amid Stubborn Storage Surplus; Balances Remain Loose

Though late-season cold was boosting heating demand across most of the Lower 48, natural gas forward prices continued to decline during the March 9-15 period, according to NGI’s Forward Look. In a sign that the chilly weather arrived too little too late, fixed price decreases averaged 11.0 cents for the April contract, Forward Look data…

March 16, 2023
March Forecast Trends Disappoint Natural Gas Markets as Forwards Retreat

March Forecast Trends Disappoint Natural Gas Markets as Forwards Retreat

Declining March heating demand expectations inspired coast-to-coast discounts for regional natural gas forwards during the March 2-8 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. April fixed prices at benchmark Henry Hub fell 27.1 cents to end the period at $2.548/MMBtu, and week/week fixed price discounts of around 20-30 cents were the norm for much of…

March 9, 2023
Record-Breaking Snowstorms Hit West Coast, Driving Massive Price Increases Along Forward Curve

Record-Breaking Snowstorms Hit West Coast, Driving Massive Price Increases Along Forward Curve

Natural gas forward prices escalated across the Lower 48 throughout the Feb. 23-March 1 period, with a continuation of winter storms fueling sharp premiums on the West Coast, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Fixed prices remain low overall as benchmark Henry Hub stood Wednesday at $2.819/MMBtu for April. That has prompted some power generators to…

March 2, 2023
West Coast Price Gains, Deep Discounts Elsewhere in Natural Gas Forwards Trading

West Coast Price Gains, Deep Discounts Elsewhere in Natural Gas Forwards Trading

A dichotomy of steep gains for the West and hefty losses everywhere else played out in natural gas forwards markets during the Feb. 16-22 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. This dynamic largely reflected the latest weather maps from Maxar’s Weather Desk, which showed shades of blue colder-than-normal temperature deviations blanketing much of the…

February 23, 2023
Permian Natural Gas Forwards Benefit from Lifting of Westbound Constraint

Permian Natural Gas Forwards Benefit from Lifting of Westbound Constraint

The prospect of late-month chills, particularly for western and northern portions of the Lower 48, helped rally natural gas forward prices at several regional hubs during the Feb. 9-15 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. In the West, the perennially constrained SoCal Citygate led the surge higher, with March fixed prices swelling $1.178 week/week…

February 16, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards Mixed as West Coast Moderates; Futures Continue Floundering

Natural Gas Forwards Mixed as West Coast Moderates; Futures Continue Floundering

Already deflated by overwhelmingly mild weather so far this winter, regional natural gas forward prices saw a mix of generally small adjustments during the Feb. 2-8 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Having descended into sub-$3 territory, benchmark Henry Hub conceded another 6.9 cents for March fixed price trading, ending the period at $2.404/MMBtu.…

February 9, 2023
Natural Gas Forward Discounts Widespread as February Expected to Bring More Warmth

Natural Gas Forward Discounts Widespread as February Expected to Bring More Warmth

Value continued to erode in regional natural gas forwards markets during the Jan. 26-Feb. 1 trading period as forecasts showed this month was poised to carry over the same warm-dominated themes that have collapsed prices winter-to-date. March fixed prices at benchmark Henry Hub sank 44.7 cents to end the period at $2.473/MMBtu, and regional hubs…

February 2, 2023
Freeport News Fails to Stop Natural Gas Bears from Chomping Away at Forward Prices

Freeport News Fails to Stop Natural Gas Bears from Chomping Away at Forward Prices

With February only days away, the natural gas market may be closing the book on winter – and brushing off news of Freeport LNG’s impending restart – as forward prices continued to soften through the Jan. 19-25 period, according to NGI’s Forward Look. The past week’s trading patterns continued the trends that have played out…

January 26, 2023
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