Forward Look

Blazing Hot Southern California Posts Huge Price Spikes Along Natural Gas Forward Curve

Blazing Hot Southern California Posts Huge Price Spikes Along Natural Gas Forward Curve

With dangerous heat leaving California electric grid operators struggling to meet heightened demand, natural gas forward prices in the southern part of the state rallied sharply from July 20-26, according to NGI’s Forward Look. Daytime temperatures have lingered at or above the century mark for most of July in parts of California, driving up cooling…

July 27, 2023
Record-Setting Heat Drives Massive Gains for Western Natural Gas Forwards Prices

Record-Setting Heat Drives Massive Gains for Western Natural Gas Forwards Prices

Natural gas forward prices remained largely range bound in mid-July, but blazing heat out West led to huge, double-digit gains in the region for the rest of summer. Still, with a persistently large storage surplus and lackluster cooling demand across most of the rest of the country, August fixed prices averaged a moderate 11.0 cents…

July 20, 2023
Near-Term Heat Lifts Appalachia Natural Gas Forward Prices, but MVP Uncertainty Clouds Outlook

Near-Term Heat Lifts Appalachia Natural Gas Forward Prices, but MVP Uncertainty Clouds Outlook

Natural gas forward prices were mostly higher for the July 6-12 period as a drop in production and sweltering summer heat drove larger-than-normal gains in Appalachia and the Southeast, according to NGI’s Forward Look. August forward prices climbed an average of 4.0 cents through the period, Forward Look data showed. The balance of summer (August-October)…

July 13, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards Prices Lose Ground Amid Production Gains, Mixed Forecast

Natural Gas Forwards Prices Lose Ground Amid Production Gains, Mixed Forecast

Amid signs of renewed production strength, and with seasonal to cooler-leaning summer temperatures expected over population centers in the Midwest and Northeast, natural gas forwards conceded ground during the June 29-July 5 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Natural gas fixed prices at benchmark Henry Hub shed 1.7 cents for the period to end…

July 6, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards Prices Ease Lower as Extreme Heat Fades from Forecasts

Natural Gas Forwards Prices Ease Lower as Extreme Heat Fades from Forecasts

With Texas heat receding to less extreme levels, and with a warm — but not sweltering — summer temperature outlook in the latest forecast maps, natural gas forwards prices pulled back during the June 22-28 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. After surging 25.8 cents higher in the week-earlier period, Henry Hub gave back…

June 29, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards Press Higher as Texas Heat Motivates Bulls

Natural Gas Forwards Press Higher as Texas Heat Motivates Bulls

Sustained sweltering heat over Texas helped stir bullish sentiment, promoting broad-based gains for regional natural gas forwards during the June 15-21 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. As the Lone Star State heat wave firmed up the cooling demand outlook just in time for the official start of summer, July fixed prices at benchmark…

June 22, 2023
Near-Record Exports to Mexico Fuel Momentum for West Texas Natural Gas Forward Markets

Near-Record Exports to Mexico Fuel Momentum for West Texas Natural Gas Forward Markets

U.S. natural gas markets failed to sustain much momentum across the forward curve during the June 8-14 trading period, with July prices averaging 2.0 cents lower as widespread heat has yet to materialize, according to NGI’s Forward Look. With plump production figures still coming out and storage inventories sitting above average levels, similarly small price…

June 15, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards, Futures Prices Gain on Stronger Cooling Demand Outlook; Western Hubs Elevated

Natural Gas Forwards, Futures Prices Gain on Stronger Cooling Demand Outlook; Western Hubs Elevated

With forecasts finally flashing more impressive heat over southern U.S. markets to strengthen the cooling demand outlook, natural gas forwards rallied during the June 1-7 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. July fixed prices at benchmark Henry Hub added 6.1 cents during the period to finish at $2.328/MMBtu. Most Lower 48 hubs finished in…

June 8, 2023
Underwhelming June Heat Crushes Natural Gas Forwards as Storage Levels Rise

Underwhelming June Heat Crushes Natural Gas Forwards as Storage Levels Rise

As natural gas markets restlessly awaited the arrival of more impressive cooling demand, regional forwards tumbled from coast to coast during the May 25-31 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. July fixed prices at benchmark Henry Hub shed 30.6 cents for the period to end at $2.267/MMBtu. Discounts of around 25-35 cents were common…

June 1, 2023
Natural Gas Forward Prices Slide on Delayed Cooling Demand, Overwhelming Supply

Natural Gas Forward Prices Slide on Delayed Cooling Demand, Overwhelming Supply

Stubbornly high production maintained its grip on natural gas forward curves during the May 18-24 period, with June prices averaging 20.0 cents lower, according to NGI’s Forward Look. With weather-driven demand at seasonal lows and storage inventories remaining at a surplus to historical norms, forward contracts dropped 16.0 cents on average for the balance of…

May 25, 2023
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