Seen

The market was beginning to show more signs of volatilityWednesday, although the swings weren’t quite as wide-ranging asmost of those last week. Cash numbers fell by 10-15 cents at nearlyall points but were expected to rebound again today after futurestraders treated AGA’s afternoon storage report as bullish.

Neither the American Gas Association (AGA) storage report of a25 Bcf withdrawal nor a supportive morning futures screen couldlift cash prices yesterday, as most points stayed within a coupleof pennies on either side of flat.

Most cash points continued their rise yesterday, but thepredominantly bullish sentiment among traders that was evidentearlier in the week showed signs of cracking. Few gains exceededmore than a nickel, while the scattered declining points fell nomore than a penny or two.

A new pipeline may be needed in Southern California to eliminateimpending gas supply and infrastructure constraints, which couldbecome critical in the next few years, according to participants ata one-day roundtable set up by the California Public UtilitiesCommission (CPUC) Tuesday in San Diego. Demand is expected to farexceed supply in the burgeoning southern end of California and onboth sides of the U.S.-Mexican border, where population, industrialand energy growth are surpassing expectations,

TransCanada PipeLines Ltd. has opened a second front in itsfight to stop, before it starts, a revenue hemorrhage seen on thehorizon as a result of new competition in natural gastransportation.

Modest gains were seen in the natural gas pit yesterday after alocal-led sell-off was stymied by scale-down trade buying. Asidefrom cash prices moving a couple pennies higher, the fundamentalpicture remained overwhelmingly bearish, prompting traders to blametechnical factors for Thursday’s strength. The February contracttraded up 2.8 cents to $2.196 and March bounced 3.6 cents to$2.237. Equally as impressive was the 12-month strip, which gained2.6 cents to $2.391

Natural gas traders were greeted yesterday morning by somethingseldom seen in recent years – a serious blast of below normaltemperatures in the key gas-consuming Northeast U.S. But evensub-freezing temperatures and gale force winds, which are expectedfor much of the eastern seaboard today, were not enough to overcomethe deleterious effects of forecasts calling for a quick return toabove-normal temperatures by the weekend. After an early buyingsurge failed to punch through $2.42, the January contract cameunder a heavy wave of selling that propelled prices lower to finishat $2.304, a 4.8-cent decline for the day.

As might be expected at a Calgary conference where producersdominated attendance and the first day’s panels, bullishness onfuture gas prices ran rampant despite last week’s price slump.Emphasizing the challenges and opportunities in reaching aprojected 30 Tcf/year market by the 2010s, speakers at Ziff EnergyGroup’s North American Gas Strategies conference agreed thatCanadian gas is well positioned to benefit both volume-wise andprice-wise in the coming years.

As might be expected at a Calgary conference where producersdominated attendance and the first day’s panels, bullishness onfuture gas prices ran rampant despite the current week’s slump.Emphasizing the challenges and opportunities in reaching aprojected 30 Tcf/year market by the 2010s, speakers at Ziff EnergyGroup’s “North American Gas Strategies” conference agreed Mondaythat Canadian gas is well positioned to benefit both volume-wiseand price-wise in the coming years.