Despite current crude oil and natural gas price weakness,PaineWebber believes its 1998 wellhead gas price forecast of$2.15/MMBtu is “conservative.” And PaineWebber raised its 1999 spotwellhead price forecast to $2.35 from $2.20. Although the firmacknowledges first quarter producer earnings probably will suffer asetback, over the long term “we’re very very bullish” for eightreasons, said analyst Ronald J. Barone. First of all, despite ElNino’s impact of a 10% warmer than normal winter, spot gas priceshave averaged a solid $2.04/MMBtu so far this year. If temperatureshad been normal, prices would have averaged $2.50, PaineWebbersaid. Secondly, nine of the last 11 summers that followed an ElNino winter have been warmer than normal. Normal to warmer thannormal temperatures next summer would contrast sharply with the 7%cooler than normal temperatures last summer. And warmertemperatures would have an even greater impact on prices if coupledwith near normal hydroelectric power supply – which PaineWebberalso is expecting – rather than the 150% above normal hydro supplyseen in 1997.
Preceding
Articles from Preceding
Hebert Views FERC’s LNG Decision as Policy Shift
Commissioner Curt Hebert Jr. said a decision in a Granite StateGas Transmission case this week signaled a “radical departure” inthe current policy used by the Commission to judge whether aproposed project has sufficient market demand. Since Order 636, theCommission has required pipelines and other companies to show thatmost, if not all, of a project’s capacity was under long-termcontracts to gain a certificate. “All of that changed [last week],”Hebert told NGI in an interview.
Four Partners Plan Gulf Area Fractionation
Amoco Oil, Enterprise Products, Exxon Chemical and WilliamsField Services announced plans to form a joint venture to build andoperate a 60,000 b/d natural gas liquids (NGL) fractionationfacility near Baton Rouge, LA. Construction has begun, and start-upis expected next March. The joint venture is to be called BatonRouge Fractionators LLC. Enterprise will operate the plant andmanage fractionation services. Amoco will process its PascagoulaGas Plant volumes at the facility. Exxon will process a portion ofits Louisiana area NGLs there, and Williams will contract toprocess its Mobile Bay Gas Plant volumes at the facility.
Mild Declines Clustered in East; West Mostly Flat
Prices ranged from flat to down a few cents Wednesday, with mostof the softness concentrated in the Gulf Coast, Midcontinent andChicago citygates. Columbia-Appalachia joined those points indeclines of mostly 3-6 cents, but CNG and Northeast citygates weredown only a penny or two. The declines tended to be attributed to”tracking the Nymex,” as a marketer said.
MCN Energy, American Central Form Gathering Venture
MCNIC Pipeline & Processing, a subsidiary of MCN EnergyGroup, and American Central Gas Companies, have formed apartnership to own and operate a gas gathering system in theCarthage field of East Texas. MCNIC Pipeline & Processing has a40% interest, and American Central holds 60%.
Mobile Bay-to-Louisiana NGL Line Slated
Six energy companies agreed to form Tri-States NGL Pipeline tobuild a natural gas liquids (NGL) pipeline from Alabama andMississippi to Louisiana fractionators. The line will link threegas processing plants under construction to new and expandedfractionators on the Mississippi River.
El Paso Energy Expands Gulf Gathering With Leviathan
El Paso Energy CEO William A. Wise calls his company’s latestplanned acquisition the “yellow brick road” to deep-water Gulf ofMexico gas development. El Paso said it will buy DeepTechInternational’s interests in Leviathan Gas Pipeline through aseries of transactions worth about $450 million. Leviathan GasPipeline Partners produces, processes, gathers, transports andmarkets oil and gas in the offshore Gulf of Mexico.
NGC-El Paso Contracts to Take Center Stage at FERC
The controversy over the terms and conditions of the contractsgiving Natural Gas Clearinghouse a large bite of the westboundtransportation capacity on El Paso Natural Gas – capacity that wasdestined to be turned back to the pipeline at the end of last year- is expected to take center stage at FERC next week. Marketers andproducers say they plan to make a case that the contracts areanticompetitive and contain illegal negotiated terms andconditions, and are responsible for the run-up in transportationrates on El Paso’s system to the California border.
Crossroads Last but not Least to the East
Add another pipeline project to the list of those that wouldmove gas eastward from the burgeoning Chicago market center.Crossroads Pipeline, in conjunction with CNG Transmission and EastOhio Gas, scheduled an open season for firm transportationbeginning Monday, March 2 and concluding April 20.
Williams Lands Its Biggest Processing Deal Ever
Williams’ field services unit has agreed to process 300 MMcf/dof gas for Exxon Company USA at its gas liquids extraction plant tobe built near Coden, AL. The deal is the largest processingcontract to date for the field services unit. The NGL extractionplant is expected to be in service by the first quarter of nextyear and will have 600 MMcf/d of inlet capacity. The Exxon gasrepresents dedicated production from multiple leases in the MobileBay area. Remaining plant capacity will be filled through theexpansion of the Transco Mobile Bay Lateral as well as other gasproduction currently flowing on the existing Transco pipeline. Aspokeswoman said the company expects to sign five or six morecontracts to handle gas at the new plant, which is expandable up toat least 900 MMcf/d.
