Plunging

Wednesday’s cash market was almost a repeat of activity the day before, with flat to mildly higher numbers dominating across the board. Bet on a radical change from that staidness today, though. After AGA announced both a large upward revision of last week’s widely derided 3 Bcf storage injection figure plus a new increase that exceeded nearly all expectations, the screen responded with a dive of more than 30 cents.

It was a no-brainer to predict Thursday’s plunging market. Amajority of price losses were between 80 cents and a dollar, aschilly but seasonally mild weather prevailed in most areas, thescreen continued to go south and traders perceived AGA’s Wednesdayafternoon storage withdrawal report of 167 Bcf as a below-parvolume.

While not plunging quite as steeply as the day before, pricesfor the weekend continued to record double-digit declines Friday.There was considerably more consistency across all markets than onThursday as virtually all points fell between 15 cents and about aquarter.

By today, a “cool” spell was expected to grip Texas, plungingtemperatures down to around 100. A nice respite from the 105-plustemperatures that stilled the state and sent electricity peak loadsto new records last week for the third time this year.

After the screen had registered a plunge of 42 cents-plus theday before, it failed to surprise cash traders when their numbersalso fell big-time Tuesday. However, prices were trending higher astrading proceeded, largely due to futures that opened lower butrecovered to finish the day nearly a nickel higher.

The bloom was off the Northeast price rose Friday as weekendcitygate quotes began plunging back to earth. The non-Northeastmarket ranged from flat to a little more than a nickel higher.

After plunging almost a dime lower in response to alarger-than-expected storage injection Wednesday afternoon, thefutures market shuffled sideways yesterday in ahurricane-abbreviated trading session. Traders were unable to gleanmuch fundamentally positive out of a natural gas market that isfaced with mild temperatures and little or no hurricane activity inthe wake of Floyd. The October contract finished at $2.546, down8.2-cents from Wednesday’s close.

Producers must have thought the Grinch was stealing Christmasearly when they saw the abyss-like depths to which December swingprices were sinking Monday. “I’ve never seen it [the spot market]dump so hard in my life!” exclaimed a Midcontinent trader.