Mercantile

Activity at the New York Mercantile Exchange resumed after thelong holiday weekend Monday, and apparently traders hit the marketwith one primary objective in mind: to sell. The spot Augustcontract opened at what turned out to be its daily high of $2.43,and ended up falling 7.4 cents to settle the day at $2.365. Anestimated 32,810 total contracts changed hands.

Although many signs have been pointing to a major rally infutures prices lately, Wednesday’s trading at the New YorkMercantile Exchange just may put an end to that talk. Aftermanaging to rise above key resistance at $2.50, the spot Augustcontract saw major selling by funds and locals, so much so thatAugust fell to a low of $2.41 before settling the day down 1.9cents at $2.450.

Tuesdays and Wednesdays have been quiet lately at the New YorkMercantile Exchange with traders, brokers, and marketers waitingcalmly in anticipation of the weekly AGA storage report. In fact,since the end of April, daily changes to the spot month contract onthose days have been small, averaging slightly more than 3 centswith no change greater than 8 cents. However, this is natural gasand just when you think you have things figured out, it throws youfor a loop. This week, July plummeted on Tuesday to the tune of11.1 cents only to rebound 18.5 cents on Wednesday. That left thespot month at $2.174 at the close of the regular trading sessionWednesday afternoon.

Trading at the New York Mercantile Exchange was once againsubdued on Tuesday, as many traders seemed to stand to thesidelines in anticipation of the release of the AGA storage reportlater this evening. Amid what trading did get accomplished, theJune contract inched 1.5 cents higher to settle the day at $2.149.

It was pretty much a nothing day at the New York MercantileExchange on Friday, as the spot June contract could only move 2.2cents lower to settle the day at $2.178. Trading was limited to atight 4 cent range.

Trading at the New York Mercantile Exchange returned to “morenormal” levels Monday following last weeks GasMart/Power tradeshow, a phenomenon one broker said was reflected in the 4.8 centgain (to $2.215) the June contract posted yesterday. “Cash marketprices were up a dime or so on the weather, and futures traderstook notice,” he said. However, he noted the strength was notenough to forge a settle above major resistance at $2.26, which ledhim to believe “the technical trading range remains.”

Following three days when trading volume at the New YorkMercantile Exchange averaged 117,518 contracts, the May contractgained a mere 1.4 cents to $2.342 amid a session when “only” 74,378contracts changed hands. Sources said much of the activity onFriday was simply position covering ahead of both the weekend andthe expiration of the May contract this Tuesday.

Technically, you could call Tuesday’s price action at the NewYork Mercantile Exchange a rally. Not only because the spot Maycontract rose 9.2 cents to $2.561, but also because the marketmoved on strong technical buying. “Funds got back in the market ina big way,” a trader succinctly surmised, referring to an estimatedvolume figure which came in at more than 100,000 contractsyesterday.

Volatility at the New York Mercantile Exchange has become so low the April contract was only able to trade within a narrow 3.5 centrange Tuesday, from $2.14-$2.175. The contract settled unchangedat $2.155.