Lowers

EEA Lowers Pacific NW Hydro Generation Forecast

Based on current reservoir levels, it is unlikely that hydroelectric output in the Pacific Northwest will return to normal levels in the coming year, and demand on gas-fired units will increase, a new report by Arlington, VA-based Energy and Environmental Analysis Inc. (EEA) concludes. As a result, EEA has adjusted its forecast for hydroelectric generation downward for 2002 and 2003, with a return to normal output in 2004.

January 7, 2002

Fitch Lowers Ratings on Kerr-McGee, Citing Weaker, Unhedged Production

Fitch has downgraded the ratings on some of Kerr-McGee Corp’s debt, citing a weaker-than-expected 2002 production forecast, a lack of hedged production and a poor titanium dioxide market.

December 24, 2001

Fitch Lowers Ratings on Kerr-McGee, Citing Weaker, Unhedged Production

Fitch has downgraded the ratings on some of Kerr-McGee Corp’s debt, citing a weaker-than-expected 2002 production forecast, a lack of hedged production and a poor titanium dioxide market.

December 21, 2001

EIA Lowers Price Forecast, Sees Winter Demand Down 5%

Given the huge overhang of natural gas in storage at the end of November, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) has adjusted its prior-month forecast for spot gas prices “somewhat downward” to about $2.15/Mcf for the winter heating season. This is two-thirds lower than the average of $6.48/Mcf for last winter, and about 43 cents below the EIA’s November forecast for winter prices.

December 10, 2001

EIA Lowers Price Forecast for Winter to $2.15/Mcf

Given the huge overhang of natural gas in storage at the end of November, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) has adjusted its prior-month forecast for spot gas prices “somewhat downward” to about $2.15/Mcf for the winter heating season. This is two-thirds lower than the average of $6.48/Mcf for last winter, and about 43 cents below the EIA’s November forecast for winter prices.

December 7, 2001

CMS Plans $2.4B in Asset Sales, Lowers Earnings Estimates

CMS Energy announced a major reorganization plan that includes a $2.4 billion sale of its non-strategic international power generation and distribution assets. The sales are expected to strengthen its balance sheet, provide more predictable earnings and lower its business risk by focusing its future business growth primarily on its Michigan utility, interstate pipeline assets and energy trading operations in North America. However, the transactions will have a significant negative short-term impact on net income, forcing a $613 million asset write-down and a third quarter net loss of $569 million. Investors pushed down the company’s stock price by more than 2% in trading Friday.

October 29, 2001

CMS Plans $2.4B in Asset Sales, Lowers Earnings Estimates

CMS Energy announced a major reorganization plan that includes a $2.4 billion sale of its non-strategic international power generation and distribution assets. The sales are expected to strengthen its balance sheet, provide more predictable earnings and lower its business risk by focusing its future business growth primarily on its Michigan utility, interstate pipeline assets and energy trading operations in North America. However, the transactions will have a significant negative short-term impact on net income, forcing a $613 million asset write-down and a third quarter net loss of $569 million. Investors pushed down the company’s stock price by 3% in early trading Friday.

October 29, 2001

UBS Warburg Lowers 2001 Gas Forecast by 30 Cents

Due to a confluence of events, including ample natural gas storage supplies and the nation entering a recession, Ronald Barone of UBS Warburg said it should “come as no surprise” that the company has decided to lower its 2001 and 2002 natural gas spot price forecast. The analyst said he has lowered the 2001 projection of 12-region composite spot price to $3.80 from $4.10, compared to the current Street consensus of $4.00. UBS Warburg’s Henry Hub equivalent is $3.95.

October 8, 2001

UBS Warburg Lowers 2001 Gas Forecast by 30 Cents

Due to a confluence of events, including ample natural gas storage supplies and the nation entering a recession, Ronald Barone of UBS Warburg said it should “come as no surprise” that the company has decided to lower its 2001 and 2002 natural gas spot price forecast. The analyst said he has lowered the 2001 projection of 12-region composite spot price to $3.80 from $4.10, compared to the current Street consensus of $4.00. UBS Warburg’s Henry Hub equivalent is $3.95.

October 8, 2001

Softness In Gulf Of Mexico Lowers Rig Market

Offshore drilling contractor Global Marine reported last week that the company’s worldwide Summary of Current Offshore Rig Economics, or SCORE, for August 2001 was down 3.2% from July because of a softening in Gulf of Mexico day rates that overshadowed the strength of the international offshore rig markets.

September 24, 2001