Induced

Due to a relatively warm February and “price-induced reductionsin gas demand,” the winter natural gas crisis is not as bad as itcould it be, according to Energy Security Analysis Inc. (ESAI) inits March Natural Gas Stockwatch. With prices back in the $5 areathe question now becomes, where do we go from here?

In another topsy-turvy trading session, natural gas futuresfinished well off daily highs, but still in positive territoryyesterday as players bid up the market in the morning only to dumpit lower after fresh storage data was released. The Januarycontract traded within a wide, 50-cent range and closed 22.4 centsstronger at $9.326. Most of the out-months were much more staid,with May through December 2001 contracts only able to tack on a1.5-cent gain. Illiquid trading contributed to the volatility asless than 45,175 contracts changed hands.

Without much in the way of fresh fundamental news, natural gasfutures limped lazily lower during the regular open-outcry sessionyesterday after an early foray to the $7.85 level failed to attractadditional buying. With that, the January contract notched itsthird down-day in a row, closing 12.4 cents lower at $7.413.Estimated volume of just 51,593 was evidence of a price move thatlacked conviction, traders observed.

Following a 4-day, 20-cent price rally, bulls in the natural gaspit cooled their heels yesterday as traders took profits amid ahost of negative short-term technical factors. After peaking forthe day shortly after 11:00 A.M. (CST) at $3.165, selling hit themarket in two distinct waves. It was the second thrust that pushedMay below key support at $3.10 to settle at $3.098, down 6 centsfor the session.