Hydroelectric

While the Pacific Northwest clearly needs new natural gas supplies in the long term, including liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports, no single state, nor the hydroelectric-rich region as a whole, has enough demand to support the economics for new pipelines or LNG terminals, according to analyses done by San Francisco-based Pacific Gas and Electric Co. The major new supply projects need to be conceived and designed to serve the broader West, PG&E has concluded.

Declining availability of hydroelectric generation in the West and the larger than normal discount for natural gas compared to Gulf Coast distillate fuel, propane and NGLs will contribute to the narrowing of the storage surplus in the weeks before the Nov. 1 start of the winter season, analyst Stephen Smith said last week. Nevertheless, Smith is predicting storage stocks on that date (sans hurricane interruptions) will total about 3,200 Bcf, above the 3,030 Bcf average for Nov. 1 over the last 10 years.

Declining availability of hydroelectric generation in the West and the larger than normal discount for natural gas compared to Gulf Coast distillate fuel, propane and NGLs will contribute to the narrowing of the storage surplus in the weeks before the Nov. 1 start of the winter season, according to analyst Stephen Smith. Nevertheless, Smith is predicting storage stocks on that date (sans hurricane interruptions) will total about 3,200 Bcf, above the 3,030 Bcf average for Nov. 1 over the last 10 years.

Even with more federal regulatory intervention and a return to closer-to-normal hydroelectric supplies in the future, California is facing at least two more years of electricity supply-demand imbalance and the prospect for higher wholesale power prices as a result, according to Andre Meade, utility analyst at Commerzbank Securities.

Even with more federal regulatory intervention and a return to closer-to-normal hydroelectric supplies in the future, California is facing at least two more years of electricity supply-demand imbalance and the prospect for higher wholesale power prices as a result, according to Andre Meade, utility analyst at Commerzbank Securities.

FERC commissioners last week finalized revisions to rules foroff-the-record communications between commissioners and key staffand persons outside the Commission. Chairman James Hoecker said thenew rule (Order No. 607) provides a balance that “will supply theclarity and precision we need. They should facilitate better accessto information while ensuring the integrity of our processes.”