futures

Following closely on Thursday’s minor futures uptick, most cashpoints on Friday barely managed double digit gains in a relativelyquiet day of trading. The Northeast and Midwest took the lead onthe plus side, but the West once again stole the show with declinesof more than $8 at the SoCal Border and more than $2 at PG&ECitygate as power demand declined for the holiday weekend.

After pushing higher but failing to fill in a key gap on thedaily chart, the March contract sifted lower yesterday as tradersset their sights on stubborn support in the $5.62 area. As it turnsout, $5.62 was little more than a speed bump as prices dippedeasily below that level in a post-AGA sell-off. The March contractwas hit the hardest, tumbling 50.1 cents to close at $5.518.

For the third week in a row, natural gas futures came underheavy selling pressure in the Sunday evening/Monday morningovernight Access trading session, initiating a gap lower open whenregular open-outcry trading resumed Monday at 9:30 a.m. (ET). As itturned out, that was about all the excitement the market couldhandle for one day because prices remained almost unchanged,slipping only 2.9 cents through the session as traders elected toremain mostly on the sidelines. Although the change throughout theday was small, the damage done overnight was significant, demotingthe March contract to $5.821, 38.9 cents beneath Friday’s close.

In a trading session reminiscent of days long gone, natural gasfutures were somewhat subdued Friday as traders held prices withina tight 16-cent trading range. Armed with fresh weather forecastsas well as a constructive technical outlook, traders added to theirlength, not only in the prompt month, but also in the summercontracts. Being the last month left on the winter of 2001 strip,March continued to play the role as the sacrificial lamb as it waslimited to a modest 5.2-cent advance. Comparatively, theApril-October summer strip showed a little more life, rumbling 7.1cents higher to close at $5.725.

After careening almost $1.50 lower early last week, bulls atNymex fought back Thursday and Friday as traders glommed on to somemodestly constructive technical and fundamental factors. When allthe dust had cleared and the orders were tabulated, the numbersspeak for themselves. The February contract lost 13% of its value,tumbling 96.3 cents lower, to go off the board at $6.293 Monday.After following in February’s footsteps Tuesday and Wednesday, thenew prompt month, March, erupted $1.036 higher to close the week at$6.743.

The market went into a holding pattern for the most partThursday with a mix of moderate increases and decreases that wasweighted slightly to the downside. A big screen runup after mostcash business was completed had several traders expecting that cashwould take that development as a cue to avoid weekend softnesstoday.

Despite a lower open and crumbling cash market values, naturalgas bulls fought their way higher on Friday as February pricesmoved above a key momentum number on technician’s charts. TheFebruary contract spent most of day trimming losses incurred duringthe overnight Access session, which paved the way for a lateshort-covering rally. The prompt month finished the day at $7.256,down 1.4 cents for the session but well above its $7.10 openingmark.

After failing to pierce through stubborn support, natural gasfutures rumbled higher yesterday afternoon as traders looked pastbearish storage data to focus on bullish technicals. The Februarycontract received the biggest buying boost, stretching 16.9 centshigher to close at $7.115.

With little in the way of fresh fundamental or technical news,natural gas futures limped mostly sideways yesterday as bargainbuying stemmed an early test of support. That enabled the Februarycontract to trim losses throughout the afternoon, closing 2.3 centslower on the session at $9.263