“We could call it ‘the blizzard that wasn’t,'” jested a marketerin reference to the Nor’easter that had been billed as the firstbig winter storm of the year in the Northeast but turned out to berelatively benign after all. It and other market factors werelosing their price-boosting punch Tuesday, with the result thatnearly all points ranged from flat to about 20 cents lower. Thestandout exception to the general market was a Southern Californiaborder plunge of more than $5.
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Cash Emulates Screen Dive as Weather Concerns Fade
A weather forecast that had ignited bullish hopes late last week(see Daily GPI, Feb. 2) appeared to begetting heavily discounted Monday. The result was huge downturns inboth cash and futures prices. California led the way with dollar-plusdrops, and all other markets were falling between about 50 cents and adollar.
Prospects of Halting Price Dive Appear Slim to None
The rout was on Tuesday in the cash market. Buffeted by a fairlybenign weather outlook, both near-term and for the transitionperiod into February, and a plunging screen, prices fell betweenabout 50 cents and a dollar at almost every point. Malin’s declineof about 15 cents spotlighted it as relatively firmer than the restof a very weak market.
Most Prices Up, But Dive Expected Due to Storage Report
Mostly moderate price declines concentrated in the Gulf Coastand Northeast were outweighed Wednesday by small to large increasesin other markets. The biggest gains were in California and theRockies/Southwest, while Transco Zone 6 (NYC) took the biggest hitof 65 cents.
Prices Dive Due to Warmer Forecasts, Screen Plunge
Weather remained cold Tuesday over most of the East, butpredictions of at least a moderate warming trend developing and ahuge plunge in futures were enough to spur the cash market to makea steep descent of its own. Dollar-plus declines were common.Transco Zone 6 (NYC) fell nearly 20 dollars, yet still reigned asthe costliest price point with an average of more than $18.
Price Dive Continues; SoCal Border Basis Skyrockets
The demise of Debby, softer futures and just not enough summerheat to really matter kept the cash market on a slide Thursday asalmost all points plunged by about 20 cents or more. Predictably,however, the smallest declines were registered by California as ananticipated reopening of one line at Pecos River Station on ElPaso’s southern branch failed to materialize due to a regulatoryfiat.
Cash Market Keeps Climbing, Oblivious to Screen Dive
Cash prices continued to leap higher Tuesday even though futurestraders decided it was time for major retrenchment. Gains were indouble digits at almost all points, but tended to range from littlemore than a dime on Rockies pipes and in El Paso’s Permian and SanJuan Basin pools to around 50 cents or more in capacity-constrainedCalifornia.
Prices Dive in East; Heat Wave Buoys Most of West
Eastern points followed up on Monday’s screen drop of 15-pluscents and subsequent milder softening Tuesday by falling 15 centsor more themselves yesterday. However, the West’s continuing heatwave kept Malin and Rockies pipes generally flat while otherCalifornia points and San Juan Basin were down only a nickel or so.
Western Prices Dive, But East Softness Mostly Mild
Prices continued to soften Friday but except for some steepdrops in the West, the weekend declines were considerably smallerthan many traders had been expecting.
Prices Fall Big-Time Again; Tropical Depression Splinters
Cash prices took a dive again Thursday as expected. Declineswere around 20 cents or greater at nearly all eastern points and inthe Southwest basins but ranged from about a dime to 18 cents inCalifornia and the Rockies.