Disruptions

Local gas distribution companies (LDC) appear to have “lined up or have on hand” most of the natural gas supplies needed for the coming heating season, despite disruptions from Hurricane Katrina, Moody’s Investors Service said in a report issued Monday. Hurricane Rita is expected to only have a negligible impact on the physical gas supply to the LDCs.

Due to a host of factors including supply disruptions related to Hurricane Katrina, Raymond James analyst J. Marshall Adkins said Monday he is raising the consulting company’s near- and long-term commodity price forecasts for natural gas and oil.

With speculation on potential disruptions in global crude supplies driving spot and futures markets, Fitch Ratings last Monday raised its natural gas price deck to $5.75/Mcf this year and to $4.50 in 2005. Fitch also pushed oil higher, to $34/bbl this year and to $27 in 2005.

With speculation on potential disruptions in global crude supplies driving spot and futures markets, Fitch Ratings on Monday raised its natural gas price deck to $5.75/Mcf this year and to $4.50 in 2005. Fitch also pushed oil higher, to $34/bbl this year and to $27 in 2005.

Getting a slightly bullish boost from the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) weekly gas storage report, July natural gas futures on Thursday closed up 7 cents at $6.485. The EIA reported that 85 Bcf of gas was injected into underground storage for the week ended June 18.

Despite snow in Calgary and modest disruptions of Gulf of Mexicosupplies by Tropical Storm Helene, nearly all points softened a bitThursday, with most of the declines less than a dime. Californianumbers took the biggest hits of more than 20 cents, while tradersof Canadian gas at Aeco, Sumas and Stanfield saw flat to slightlyhigher pricing.

In an effort to improve its power market monitoring capabilitiesin light of the price spikes and market disruptions that occurredlast summer, FERC last week changed the reporting requirements forthe 500-600 licensed power marketers.

In an effort to improve its power market monitoring capabilitiesin light of the price spikes and market disruptions that occurredlast summer, FERC yesterday changed the reporting requirements for600 power marketers. The Commission said it intends to remove awaiver of its rules that was granted to power marketers and powerproducers with market-based rates that allowed them to refrain fromfiling their long-term contracts with their customers. The changeputs power marketers on a more level playing field with traditionalutilities, which currently have to file their long-term agreements.

Northwest Pipeline said it was able to keep all but a smallpercentage of markets whole after its 26-inch mainline explodedabout 8:20 p.m. PST Friday in the Columbia River Gorge area nearStevenson, WA, about 32 miles east of Portland (see Daily GPI,March 1). The rupture caused a fireball, but no injuries werereported and pipeline workers had the situation controlled withinan hour, a spokeswoman said.