Declines

Gas reserves grew substantially in 2000 partly because of declines in production, but also because of a turnaround in drilling, according to a new report by the American Gas Association. The AGA report shows that based on the behavior of 30 large reserve holders examined, total domestic gas reserve additions are expected to be 24 Tcf or greater for 2000. Because only 19.2 Tcf is estimated to have been produced, reserves for 2000 are expected to have grown from 164.7 Tcf to more than 170 Tcf — the highest level of reserves since 1987, AGA said. Additions to gas reserves exceeded domestic production by at least 26% in 2000.

May aftermarket pricing continued to erode Tuesday nearly across the board. Most declines were between about a nickel and a little more than 20 cents, with a majority of them toward the upper end of that range. The non-Malin California points plunged more than a dollar.

As many traders had expected, the moderation of cold weather ineastern markets and the screen’s expiration-day dive were enough todrive the late-March swing market sharply lower in nearly all casesThursday. Only new increases at the Southern California border andPG&E citygate defied the overall downtrend.

Spurred by a negative short-term technical outlook and coming onthe heels of bearish storage data, natural gas futures retracedlower Wednesday as traders took back gains notched during Tuesday’sprice rally. At the closing bell, April was off 24.6 cents tofinish at $5.041, 2.2 cents below Monday’s close.

After flirting with key support at $5.00 throughout much of thesession, natural gas futures broke lower late yesterday after aprice-constructive storage withdrawal report failed to attract therequisite buying activity. The prompt April contract finished 9.5cents lower at $4.911. However, the real story was the out-months,many of which suffered double-digit setbacks. The 12-month stripclosed 10.3 cents lower at $5.091.

El Paso Merchant Energy, declining to match bids for aboutone-third of the capacity on its affiliate El Paso Natural GasPipeline into California, “passed up a short-term profit” (and morecontroversy) to focus on “building our long-term relationship withour California customers,” according to spokesman Mel Scott.

Prices kept falling Wednesday, but the declines wereconsiderably more moderate than the previous day’s plunges.Dollar-plus drops at the Northern California points (Malin andPG&E citygate) were the only remaining vestiges of the marketrout that had appeared to be developing Tuesday. All non-Californiapoints ranged from flat to down about a dollar.

Mostly moderate price declines concentrated in the Gulf Coastand Northeast were outweighed Wednesday by small to large increasesin other markets. The biggest gains were in California and theRockies/Southwest, while Transco Zone 6 (NYC) took the biggest hitof 65 cents.

Except for declines at several of the highest-priced westernpoints, the cash market stayed in an upbeat mood Friday. Gainsranged from about a dime to more than 30 cents, with most between20 and 30 cents. Malin joined the three primary Pacific Northwestpoints (Sumas, Stanfield and Kingsgate) in falling from their loftyheights.