Although it is widely believed the collapse of crude oil pricescould force many producers to cut back drilling plans this year,Unocal Corp. was the first company to formally confirm ityesterday. Unocal said it will prune its capital spending by about$250 million to $1.3 billion. According to CEO Roger C. Beach thecapital expenditure reductions will come in three areas: near-termproduction projects that are most heavily affected by lower currentcommodity prices, investments in non-oil and gas businesses, andlonger term exploration projects that could benefit from more dataevaluation. The move probably will not have a significant impact onUnocal’s natural gas production, a spokesman said, adding however,some associated gas production could become a casualty in thecutbacks. No specifics were available.
Crude
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Analyst: Eight Reasons to be Bullish
Despite current crude oil and natural gas price weakness,PaineWebber believes its 1998 wellhead gas price forecast of$2.15/MMBtu is “conservative.” And PaineWebber raised its 1999 spotwellhead price forecast to $2.35 from $2.20. Although the firmacknowledges first quarter producer earnings probably will suffer asetback, over the long term “we’re very very bullish” for eightreasons, said analyst Ronald J. Barone. First of all, despite ElNino’s impact of a 10% warmer than normal winter, spot gas priceshave averaged a solid $2.04/MMBtu so far this year. If temperatureshad been normal, prices would have averaged $2.50, PaineWebbersaid. Secondly, nine of the last 11 summers that followed an ElNino winter have been warmer than normal. Normal to warmer thannormal temperatures next summer would contrast sharply with the 7%cooler than normal temperatures last summer. And warmertemperatures would have an even greater impact on prices if coupledwith near normal hydroelectric power supply – which PaineWebberalso is expecting – rather than the 150% above normal hydro supplyseen in 1997.
