Barney

Discounting recent short-term predictions for warmer weather,Salomon Smith Barney added another 75 cents to its gas priceforecast for this year. The prediction now totals $5/MMBtu at thewellhead or about $5.15 at the Henry Hub, but SSB still fears itmay be too low given the storage and gas production situation.

For those who are still scrambling for explanations on why gasprices have reached record levels, Salomon Smith Barney (SSB)meteorologist Jon Davis offered a brief synopsis last week of whathappened with the weather last month. November 2000 was the secondcoldest November in 106 years and it was a complete reversal fromNovember 1999, which was the warmest November in 106 years.

For those who are still scrambling for explanations on why gasprices have reached record levels, Salomon Smith Barney (SSB)meteorologist Jon Davis offered a brief synopsis last week of whathappened with the weather last month. November 2000 was the secondcoldest November in 106 years and it was a complete reversal fromNovember 1999, which was the warmest November in 106 years.

In its weekly outlook on gas storage levels, Salomon SmithBarney (SSB) raised its forecast of expected storage levels at theend of the winter heating season by 117 Bcf from the previous week.The firm, which has grown increasingly bearish because of theclimbing storage surplus, now expects there to be 1,423 Bcf ofworking gas in storage on April 3, which would be 522 Bcf more thanthe four-year average on that date and 364 Bcf more than the sametime last year. Working gas levels in storage as of Feb. 12 were at1,887 Bcf, which is 462 Bcf more than last year on the same date,according to the American Gas Association (AGA).

Salomon Smith Barney (SSB) predicts there will be 405 Bcf moregas in storage at the end of the winter heating season on April 1than the average level of stored gas at the same point over thepast four years. The investment firm raised its forecast forseason-ending storage levels by 72 Bcf last week to 1,306 toreflect lower-than-expected withdrawals for the week ending Feb. 5and 20% warmer than normal weather expected for the week endingFeb. 13. The forecast would put storage levels on April 1 about 247Bcf higher than levels at the same point last year. According tothe American Gas Association (AGA), storage levels currently are428 Bcf higher than they were at the same point last year.