From the Arctic to the Sahara, Texas is expected to experience quite the swing in temperatures this year. A preliminary summer forecast issued by WeatherBell Analytics LLC is projecting a hot summer centered in the Lone Star State.

“Our summer outlook calls for above-normal temperatures for most of North America,” said chief forecaster Joe Bastardi. “The area most likely to be warmest is centered in the Southwest and Texas.”

Bastardi said it wouldn’t be surprising to see a near 5-degree temperature departure above normal in the southern High Plains. Statistically, though, that would be improbable.

“I am not going to pull any punches — a near-record warm summer is our expectation,” Bastardi said.

WeatherBell is expecting the La Niña pattern to redevelop and...