The empty, windswept plains of West Texas and southeastern New Mexico, where tumbleweeds the size of SUVs roll down the highways and blinding dust storms stretch for miles, belie the growing prosperity of rural, mile-wide communities, with some fast food workers making $20/hour and motel rooms going for $400 a night.
Energy companies are paying education, housing and transportation costs to lure experienced and novice workers to the swollen oil and gas fields of the Permian Basin.
Those are some of the findings of a new economic study by a Texas Tech University energy economics team about the far-reaching impact that the resurgence the Permian Basin's oil and gas industry has had on the region. Tech energy economics professor Bradley Ewing co-authored "Economic Impact of the Permian Basin's Oil and Gas Industry," which was sponsored by the Permian Basin Petroleum Association (PBPA).
"Having studied the industry for a number of years, we were not surprised at the magnitude of the impacts from our researchers' point of view," Ewing said. "However, what stands out to us is the greater importance the oil and gas industry plays in the overall stability of the Permian Basin's economy.
"The Permian is an important driver of not only the region's economy but the nation's," and it will be for a long time into the future, Ewing said. In 2013 alone, he estimated that the industry across the two states had created and sustained more than 546,000 jobs, with an economic output of $137.98 billion. It also created more than $71.1 billion to the gross state products combined of Texas and New Mexico.
Those numbers likely already are higher as Permian producers increased their capital expenditures for 2014.
"In Texas alone, the Permian Basin is estimated to produce and sustain more than 444,000 jobs, with $113.6 billion in economic output, and contribute more than $60.2 billion in gross state product for the state," said Ewing. "For New Mexico, the Permian Basin is estimated to produce and sustain more than 94,000 jobs, with $22.7 billion in economic output and more than $10.2 billion contributed to the gross state product."
It's not one particular thing that's contributing to the high employment rates and big economic gains, said Ewing. It's a lot of things, such as technology, oilfield services, ancillary products, transportation, infrastructure needs, etc.
"The larger metropolitan statistical areas [MSA] in the region have lower unemployment rates than state and national averages," he said. For instance, the preliminary end-of-year 2013 unemployment rate for New Mexico was 6.3%, and for Texas it was 6.0%.
However, the MSA unemployment rates in the West Texas town of Midland was 3.1%, while in the Odessa it was 3.6%, and in Lubbock it was 4.7%. At the county level, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the unemployment rate in August 2013 for New Mexico's big drilling counties also was well below the state's rate. In Eddy County, NM the unemployment rate was 3.9%, and in Lea County, it was 3.8%.
Texas Tech researchers defined the Permian as the area stretching from Hale County, TX north of Lubbock to the Rio Grande Valley and into parts of southeastern New Mexico. It includes the Permian's Delaware and Midland subbasins, as well as several known resource plays within the subbasins including the Wolfberry, Spraberry, Bone Spring, San Andres, Clearfork, Cline and Wolfcamp formations.
According to researchers, the Permian at the end of December 2013 had the highest rig count of any basin or region in the world at 469, representing 27% of the total rig count in the United States and 56% of the total rig count in Texas. And since Dec. 27, 2013, the number of horizontal, oil-directed rigs in the Permian Basin has risen by 63%, accounting for half of the total increase in those types of rigs in the United States.
The economic impact, however, is felt not only in drilling and exploration, but also in all the ancillary industries that provide support.
"Ultimately, economic impacts derive from the exploration, drilling and production of oil and gas, which require a multitude of support activities for oil and gas operations," researchers said. "These core activities, in turn, lead to a number of noncore but very critical midstream supply chain activities, such as pipeline, transportation, refining and equipment manufacturing."
The "secondary effects" of oil and gas drilling and exploration impact not only suppliers to the industry but also wholesale, retail, real estate and housing and financial services.
Ewing pointed out some of the fascinating findings from the research. For instance, hotel rooms in the Midland-Odessa, TX area are going for $400, or more, per night. Trailer parks, even in neighboring towns like Snyder, Andrews and Seminole, have no vacancies because oilfield workers have moved in.
People have left careers they've trained or earned degrees for, or both, for the high-paying oilfield jobs. Fast-food workers today are earning close to $20/hour. There are shortages of other types of positions, such as school bus drivers, who have found much higher paying positions driving for energy companies.
However, the impact goes well beyond that, according to Ewing. Because of the way the industry functions in the area, he and his team concluded the region's economy is becoming more stable and the growth sustainable.
"The more recent performance of the industry is linked to greater economic stability," Ewing said. "Moreover, the research indicates the economics of the industry and region are sustainable. However, that is dependent on infrastructure and capital formation keeping pace."
"The bottom line is, the economic engine that drives so much of this is just hitting on all cylinders," said PBPA President Ben Shepperd.
The Permian report marks the second one Ewing has helped produce this summer for the petroleum industry. In July, he was commissioned for a report on the economic impact the Texas oil and gas pipeline industry has on the state (see Shale Daily, July 21).
In addition to Ewing, Texas Tech researchers who contributed to the Permian report included Marshall C. Watson, department chair for the Bob. L. Herd Department of Petroleum Engineering; Terry McInturff, chair of the Rawls College of Business Area of Energy, Economics and Law; energy professor Russell McInturff; and petroleum engineering doctoral students Tariq Ali, Roland O. Ezewu and Ibegbuna Ezisi.