NGI The Weekly Gas Market Report

EEA: 2002 Gas Prices Below $3 on a ‘Consistent Basis’

Assuming that weather conditions stay consistent with the 1970-1999 average, and oil prices continue to moderate, Energy and Environmental Analysis Inc. (EEA) expects natural gas prices at the Henry Hub to average $3.28/MMBtu this month and $3.07/MMBtu for the remainder of the 2001 gas storage injection season. The research firm said it expects working gas in storage to reach 3.2 Tcf by the start of the winter heating season, higher than the 3.03 Tcf in 1999 and 2.66 Tcf in 2000.

July 16, 2001

Duke, Mirant Question FERC Must-Offer Directive

Duke Energy Oakland LLC is questioning whether generators should be bound by a “must-offer” obligation included in recent FERC price-mitigation orders if that compliance means that generators will have to run their generating units over and above what is allowed under the units’ air emissions permits.

July 16, 2001

As FERC Refund Talks End, Davis Says $8.9B is Non-Negotiable

California Gov. Gray Davis said Friday the the state’s $8.9 billion estimate for refunds owed to its electric customers isn’t negotiable, but he will to consider alternative forms of payment other than straight cash refunds, such as the re-negotiation of long-term power contracts.

July 9, 2001

Entergy to Beat 2Q Consensus by 5%, Divests UK Plant

Despite decreased earnings from its wholesale operations and the impact of normal weather, Entergy Corp. indicated last Thursday that it is confident its second quarter 2001 earnings will be at least 5% higher than the current published First Call earnings consensus of $0.91 per share. The company attributed the strong results to “excellent performance” in its competitive businesses.

July 9, 2001

Industry Briefs

The NewPower Co., a subsidiary of NewPower Holdings Inc., signed a definitive agreement to acquire the customers and related assets of AES Power Direct, a retail marketing subsidiary of AES Corp. The company has also signed a definitive agreement to purchase the customers and natural gas inventory related to the Columbia Gas of Ohio and Dominion East Ohio gas customer choice programs of CoEnergy Trading Co. CoEnergy is a subsidiary of DTE Energy Co. Together, the deals significantly expand NewPower’s presence in Ohio, where the company will add over 82,000 natural gas and electric customers, and in Pennsylvania, where NewPower will add approximately 38,000 natural gas customers. The deal also marks NewPower’s entrance into the service territories of four additional utilities: Dominion Peoples, Dominion East Ohio, Toledo Edison and Ohio Edison. NewPower is also entering the gas market for Cincinnati Gas & Electric. As part of the AES Power Direct transaction, NewPower will acquire related natural gas inventory, supply and transportation contracts and infrastructure, including billing and customer service, in Peoria, IL, and Toronto, ON. NewPower will acquire from AES Power Direct and CoEnergy a total of approximately 112,000 natural gas customers in the service territories of Columbia Gas of Pennsylvania, Columbia Gas of Ohio, Dominion Peoples, Cincinnati Gas & Electric, Dominion East Ohio, and Washington Gas Light customers in Virginia and Maryland. In addition, NewPower will add approximately 7,000 AES Power Direct electric customers in the Toledo Edison and Ohio Edison markets.

July 9, 2001

NYISO Seeks FERC OK of Market Abuse Penalties

Pointing out the potential for market power abuses during this summer’s peak demand periods, the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) has asked FERC to give it a quick go-ahead to penalize for repeated abuses of market power in the Empire State.

July 9, 2001

Kern River Expansion Completed

Kern River Gas Transmission announced last Monday it had completed construction and was flowing gas through emergency expansion facilities on its Kern River natural gas transmission system. The expansion, which consisted mostly of adding compression, increased delivery capacity of the Wyoming to California pipeline by 135,000 Dth/d.

July 9, 2001

SoCalGas Lowers Retail Gas Prices by Nearly 50% in July

Reflecting the nose-dive in wholesale prices, Southern California Gas Co. in July whacked its retail prices to residential and small business customers by 48%, dropping from 52.1 cents/therm in June to 27 cents this month.

July 9, 2001

El Paso to Re-Open One Line, But Take Out Another

The Department of Transportation (DOT) on Friday gave El Paso Natural Gas the go-ahead to re-start on a restricted basis the South Mainline line that ruptured and caused the fatal explosion in New Mexico nearly a year ago (see NGI, Sept. 4, 2000), interrupting supplies to the southwestern and California gas markets for weeks and months afterward.

July 9, 2001

Dominion East Ohio to Save Gas Customers $31/Month

Dominion East Ohio announced recently that its sales customers will pay 29% less for natural gas than they now do under a new rate that will be frozen through April 29, 2002, due to an innovative gas cost recovery (GCR) filing made with the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (PUCO). The company said about 580,000 of its 1.2 million customers will be affected by the change because they buy natural gas from the company at rates regulated by the PUCO. Other customers buy gas from competitive suppliers under market-based rates.

July 9, 2001