Forward Look

Natural Gas Forwards Remain Under Pressure as February Warmth Erases Demand

Natural Gas Forwards Remain Under Pressure as February Warmth Erases Demand

Exceptional warmth near-term and an enduring supply buffer kept the pressure on regional natural gas forward prices during the Feb. 1-7 trading period, according to NGI’s Forward Look. March fixed prices at benchmark Henry Hub dropped 13.6 cents to end at $1.976/MMBtu, setting the pace for coast-to-coast discounts at the front of the curve.  With…

February 8, 2024
Natural Gas Forwards Weighed Down by Supply as Bulls Look for Colder Pattern Shift

Natural Gas Forwards Weighed Down by Supply as Bulls Look for Colder Pattern Shift

Regional natural gas forward prices came under bearish pressure across the curve during the Jan. 25-31 trading period as recovering production volumes and blowtorch winter temperatures foreshadowed excess supply heading into the upcoming injection season. Henry Hub fixed prices shed 16.0 cents for March delivery, ending the period at $2.112/MMBtu, NGI’s Forward Look data show.…

February 1, 2024
Natural Gas Forwards Retreat on Warm Early February, Though Basis Strengthens Out West

Natural Gas Forwards Retreat on Warm Early February, Though Basis Strengthens Out West

Facing bearish weather headwinds into early February, regional natural gas forward prices generally drifted lower during the Jan. 18-24 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Amid a return to the unseasonably mild temperatures that dominated forecast maps prior to a mid-January Arctic cold blast, fixed prices at numerous hubs impacted by the deep freeze…

January 25, 2024
Old Man Winter’s Disappointing Encore Sees Natural Gas Forward Prices Retreat

Old Man Winter’s Disappointing Encore Sees Natural Gas Forward Prices Retreat

Natural gas forwards pulled back during the Jan. 11-17 trading period as impacts to both supply and demand from recent Arctic weather began to subside and as a much milder late January pattern came into sharper focus. After surging in the week-earlier period, fixed prices from coast-to-coast fell back down, NGI’s Forward Look data show.…

January 18, 2024
Old Man Winter Finally Wakes Up as Natural Gas Forward Prices Surge

Old Man Winter Finally Wakes Up as Natural Gas Forward Prices Surge

With a mid-January arctic blast lining up to drive strong heating demand and disrupt production volumes, regional natural gas forwards raced higher during the Jan. 4-10 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Markets across the country braced for freezing and even subzero temperatures, with frigid temperatures and severe weather already developing ahead of the…

January 11, 2024
Natural Gas Forwards Rally as New Year Promising Long-Awaited Cold

Natural Gas Forwards Rally as New Year Promising Long-Awaited Cold

A new year brought a new outlook to regional natural gas forwards markets during the Dec. 28-Jan. 3 period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. Coming off a balmy December, forecasts during the period teased the arrival of markedly more winter-like conditions through this month, and traders responded by locking in double digit near month fixed…

January 4, 2024
Northeast, West Coast Premiums Continue to Fade as Other Natural Gas Forward Hubs Advance

Northeast, West Coast Premiums Continue to Fade as Other Natural Gas Forward Hubs Advance

For much of the Lower 48, regional natural gas prices gained during the Dec. 21-27 trading period amid hopes for a chillier new year, though winter basis premiums continued to fade, NGI’s Forward Look data show. January fixed prices at Henry Hub rallied 17.7 cents to exit the period at $2.629/MMBtu. February finished at $2.458,…

December 28, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards Climb for Much of Lower 48, Though Demand Hub Premiums Shrink

Natural Gas Forwards Climb for Much of Lower 48, Though Demand Hub Premiums Shrink

Aside from further discounts at Western Lower 48 hubs, natural gas forwards generally gained ground during the Dec. 14-20 trading period as the prospect of chillier conditions arriving in early 2024 lent support to prices. Fixed prices for January and February delivery rallied week/week at Henry Hub. The January contract at the national benchmark exited…

December 21, 2023
Natural Gas Forwards Further Bruised by One-Two Punch of Weather, Production

Natural Gas Forwards Further Bruised by One-Two Punch of Weather, Production

The combination of unseasonably light weather-driven demand and record-level production continued to deal one bearish blow after another to regional natural gas prices during the Dec. 7-13 trading period, data from NGI’s Forward Look show. Traders locked in fixed price discounts from coast-to-coast for the period, with Henry Hub down to $2.342/MMBtu for January delivery,…

December 14, 2023
Demand-Dampening Effect of Golden Pass Delay Ripples Through Natural Gas Forwards

Demand-Dampening Effect of Golden Pass Delay Ripples Through Natural Gas Forwards

Unable to escape a bearish fundamental outlook informed by production outperformance and mild December weather, regional natural gas forwards saw heavy discounts during the Nov. 30-Dec. 6 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show. National benchmark Henry Hub fell to $2.575/MMBtu for January delivery, a 24.4-cent slide versus week-earlier prices.   Winter bulls found little refuge…

December 7, 2023