For what would be a third straight month, oil and natural gas production from seven of the nation’s most prolific onshore unconventional plays will be down in July compared to June, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said Monday.


Total gas production from the Anadarko, Appalachian and Permian basins, and the Bakken, Eagle Ford, Haynesville and Niobrara formations, is expected to be 80.56 Bcf/d next month, compared to 81.25 Bcf/d in June, according to EIA’s latest Drilling Productivity Report (DPR).

Declines in gas production are expected in all seven plays in July, EIA said. The DPR includes forecasts of 6.40 Bcf/d in the Anadarko (compared with 6.60 Bcf/d in June); 32.47 Bcf/d in Appalachia (compared with 32.70 Bcf/d); 2.26 Bcf/d in the Bakken (compared with 2.27 Bcf/d); 6.33 Bcf/d in the Eagle Ford (compared with 6.43 Bcf/d); 11.76 Bcf/d in the Haynesville (compared with 11.83 Bcf/d); 5.31 Bcf/d in the Niobrara (compared with 5.39 Bcf/d); and 16.03 Bcf/d in the Permian (compared with 16.04 Bcf/d).

EIA also expects oil production to decline in each of the plays, with total production forecast to decline to 7.63 million b/d in July from 7.73 million b/d in June.

Decreases in oil production are expected in the Anadarko (416,000 b/d from 442,000 b/d); the Appalachia (133,000 b/d from 134,000 b/d); Bakken (998,000 b/d from 1.00 million b/d); Eagle Ford (1.17 million b/d from 1.20 million b/d); Haynesville (36,000 b/d from 37,000 b/d); Niobrara (613,000 b/d from 638,000 b/d); and Permian (4.26 million b/d from 4.27 million b/d).

Following more than three years of consecutive month/month production increases, EIA forecast decreases in the STEOs it released in both April and May.

Drilled but uncompleted (DUC) well counts across the Big Seven ended May at 7,591, a decrease of 33 from May, EIA said. DUCs decreased in four of the seven plays, with the Anadarko down 15 to 662, the Appalachia down 10 to 513, the Eagle Ford down 13 to 1,349, and the Niobrara down five to 478.

The productivity of new gas rigs in the Big Seven plays is expected to increase by 1.03 Bcf/d in July to 5.48 Bcf/d. At the same time, new well oil production per rig is expected to increase by 64 b/d during the month to 798 b/d.

EIA compiles the DPR using recent U.S. data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in output from existing wells to provide estimated changes in production.