Throughout

Buy the Forecast; Sell the Weather. Never Worked Better

Even as temperatures were shattering records throughout much ofthe Northeast,sending electricity prices spiking near $1000/MWhTuesday, natural gas futures were hit with a wave of selling tokick off the week. Speculative fund traders, who have been longpositions for almost three months now, were prominent sellersearly. But trade and local selling was not far behind, sending theAugust contract to its lowest level since the middle of April. Theprompt month finished down 9.6 cents at $2.191, after carving out a$2.16 bottom. Estimated volume was a robust 124,967.

July 7, 1999

NRG Builds Power Giant in Hungry Northeast

While power demand hit record levels throughout the Northeastand power prices rocketed to $850/MWh yesterday, NRG Energycontinued to position itself as a major generator in thepower-hungry region. The subsidiary of Northern States Power landeda major power generation deal with Connecticut Light & Power ofHartford. NRG is snatching up 2,235 MW of generating capacity fromCL&P for $460 million.

July 7, 1999

Lower Cash Quotes Take Cue From Tuesday Screen

As sources had expected, the prolonged decline of the Junefutures contract throughout Tuesday’s trading made its influencefelt in softer cash prices Wednesday. But cash losses weredecidedly modest, with nearly all points registering drops of only2-4 cents. Futures offered only a tiny downtick of less than apenny as further guidance Wednesday.

May 20, 1999

Nymex Drop, Weekend Load Press Cash Downward

Shrinking demand due to warmer weather throughout the countryconspired with a 6.1-cent drop on the Nymex futures contractThursday to put an end to a small and short-lived boost from arelatively bullish storage report. Friday’s cash prices retreatedan average of 3-4 cents in most areas, erasing the small gains fromThursday’s trading, and bringing cash back to the level it hoveredaround most of the week.

March 22, 1999

Futures Quiet Ahead of Weekend

The futures market sauntered into the weekend Friday in a verysimilar fashion to the way it traded throughout the week-in aboring, hum-drum manner. The March contract was limited to a paltry2.5-cent trading range, slipping 0.1 cents lower to settle at$1.745. Estimated volume was evidence of the quiet trading as only42,085 contracts changed hands.

February 22, 1999

Futures Prices Lower Before, After Storage Data

After seesawing throughout most of the morning, futures pricestumbled again Wednesday as traders surveyed the threat of freshbearish fundamental news. The front-month January contract finisheddown 7.2 cents to $1.886 at the close, barely off session lows of$1.88. Estimated volume was a healthy 67,274.

December 3, 1998

IPAA Sees 2.4% Demand Rise Next Year

A return to normal temperatures in the first quarter andthroughout next year is likely to lead to a 2.4% increase in gasdemand in 1999, the Independent Petroleum Association of America(IPAA) said in its November Short-Run Forecast. IPAA sees demandreaching 22.3 Tcf, a peak that surpasses the previous high of 22.1set in 1972 and a significant turnaround from the 1.1% decrease to21.7 Tcf of gas demand expected this year.

November 19, 1998

Elections Endorse Electric Restructuring

Electric power and business interests throughout California arehailing the overwhelming voter rejection of Prop 9 (72%-28%), theelectric reform initiative that would have crippled California’scomplex pioneering effort at creating a competitive electricitymarket. Similar reactions were echoed on the East Coast whereQuestion 4 in Massachusetts was passed by voters, sustaining itsongoing electricity competition.

November 5, 1998

Choppy Trade Leaves Futures Nearly Unchanged

Bulls and bears took turns influencing futures yesterday as themarket trended higher throughout regular pit trading, only to dropright back down to near unchanged in last night’s Access session.As is the case on any Wednesday, the price catalyst came in theform of the weekly AGA storage report released at the beginning ofAccess trading. The November contract experienced the largest priceswings of the strip, settling up 4.7 cents to $2.393 beforeretracing 3.3 cents lower to $2.36.

October 8, 1998

California Fries, Hits Power Highs

Triple-digit temperatures throughout much of California inlandfrom the Pacific Coast spurred record energy demand, promptingstate and utility officials to call for voluntary cutbacks inelectricity usage on the eve of the Labor Day holiday weekend.Collectively, August turned out to be California’s hottest ever,further testing the reliability of the new power system in thestate.As Southern California Edison, San Diego Gas and Electricand the nation’s largest municipal utility, the City of Los AngelesDepartment of Water and Power, all registered record power demandMonday, a corresponding record for natural gas delivered toelectric generating plants was marked at Southern California Gas,which transports supplies to all three electric utilities. Gassupplies for power generation equaled 1.92 Bcf/d on Monday,surpassing a one-day record set Aug. 11, 1994 (1.877 Bcf), and aspokesperson for SoCalGas said with the prediction of more hotweather later in the week, “there is a chance we will surpass thenew record.”

September 2, 1998