The Energy Information Administration has a new web site with aninteractive map on natural gas choice programs nationwide. The mapshows programs for residential customers in individual states rangefrom full choice (in New Mexico, New York and West Virginia, withan additional nine states in the implementation phase) to test or”pilot” programs in 11 states that provide a choice of supplier forsome customers. An additional 11 states are considering action oncustomer choice, while 17 states have thus far taken no action. EIAfound consumer reaction to choice has been mixed. In some states,such as Nebraska, 97% of the eligible residential and commercialcustomers are electing to choose a supplier. In other states,however, such as Indiana and New Jersey, the participation is 2% orless of those eligible. The map does not provide complete data oncustomer choice or nationwide totals, but it does provide importantinformation on gas unbundling in each state. An EIA spokeswomansaid the administration plans to continue updating the site andintends to release a summary page soon that is expected to shownationwide residential participation levels at about 17% of thoseeligible. To find out more about the status of choice programs ineach of the 50 states and the District of Columbia visit the EIAweb site at: http://www.eia.doe.gov.
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WI Governor Shows Support for ANR Project
Wisconsin Gov. Tommy G. Thompson said he supports phase two ofANR Pipeline’s Wisconsin 2000 Expansion that would add 194 MMcf/dof firm capacity to meet peak-day requirements and the needs of thegrowing power generation market in the state.
Overall Flatness Shows East-West Divergence
The cash market, which had been fairly consistent in overallprice movement for most of last week, went into the weekendstarting to diverge on an East-West axis. While Friday’s mix ofgains and losses amounted to a generally flat wash, Eastern pointstended to be flat to about a nickel higher, and their Westerncounterparts tended to range from flat to about a nickel lower.
Briefs
Nominations for the trip to Chicago on Northern Border reached490 MMcf/d by the middle of last week, which shows the line hasbeen ramping up gradually since beginning service on Dec. 22. Butit still is about 175 MMcf/d short of being full. The 665 MMcf/dextension did not begin service near full capacity as pipelineofficials had predicted for a number of reasons, a spokeswomansaid. “The California market has been particularly strong the lastfew weeks. The delivery point at Sumas, WA, has been veryprice-positive for the Canadians so there’s been a huge amount ofgas going in that direction,” noted Northern Border’s Beth Jensen.There also was a set-back caused by water left in the linefollowing hydrostatic testing. “They did have some delivery pointsthat froze so we had to work those things out.” Unfortunately therewas a four-day period without gas flow just prior to bidweek, whichcreated market uncertainty entering the month and probably impactednominations. “The kinks in the system are being worked out,” shesaid. “Now nominations at Manhattan, IL, [into Peoples] are 340MMcf/d and at Minooka [into NiGas] are 150 MMcf/d. “Frankly I don’tthink the market in Chicago to this point has jelled. I think it’son its way to working out. But right now the market off of Ventura,IA, [into Northern Natural to Minnesota and western Wisconsin]seems to be as strong as anything. It’s been very cold up there.”Northern Border’s expansion/extension project increased take-awaycapacity at Ventura by 260 MMcf/d.
Northern Border Still Ramping Up
Nominations for the trip to Chicago on Northern Border reached490 MMcf/d yesterday, which shows the line has been ramping upgradually since beginning service on Dec. 22, but the pipe still isabout 175 MMcf/d short of being full.
Industrials Will Lead Rise in Canadian Gas Demand
The Canadian Gas Association’s 1998 demand forecast showsoverall domestic gas consumption increasing nearly 30% over thenext 12 years to 100.7 billion cubic meters in 2010. The industrialsector is expected to enjoy the strongest growth (up 38% over theforecast period), largely driven by increases in power generation.In 2010, the industrial sector will represent 63% of total end-usegas demand in Canada, with consumption pegged at 63 billion cubicmeters. This compares to 45.7 billion cubic meters in 1998.
Canadian Gas Demand Projected to Rise 30% in 12 Years
The Canadian Gas Association’s 1998 demand forecast showsoverall domestic gas consumption increasing nearly 30% over thenext 12 years to 100.7 billion cubic meters in 2010. The industrialsector is expected to enjoy the strongest growth (up 38% over theforecast period), largely driven by increases in power generation.In 2010, the industrial sector will represent 63% of total end-usegas demand in Canada, with consumption pegged at 63 billion cubicmeters. This compares to 45.7 billion cubic meters in 1998.
EIA Outlook Shows Tough Challenges Ahead for Producers
The Energy Information Administration released its Annual EnergyOutlook 1999 (AEO99) last week, projecting gas demand will grow byabout 50% to 33.17 Tcf by 2020 from 1997 levels of 22.59 Tcf, whichis a 1.7% average annual increase.
EIA Outlook Shows Tough Challenges Ahead
The Energy Information Administration released its Annual EnergyOutlook 1999 (AEO99) yesterday, projecting gas demand will grow byabout 50% to 33.17 Tcf by 2020 from 1997 levels of 22.59 Tcf, whichis a 1.7% average annual increase. Total energy demand is projectedto grow 1.1%/year to 119.9 quadrillion Btu by 2020 from 94 quads in1997.
AGA Storage Revision Shows Industry Reached New Peak in ’98
It was a week late, but the American Gas Association reportedlast week that the industry put more gas in storage this year thanin any of the previous four years in which it has been conductingits storage survey. In a revision prompted by a change in totalworking gas capacity in the U.S., the AGA said on Nov. 6 there was3,127 Bcf of gas in storage, which is 58 Bcf more than the previouspeak set on Nov. 8, 1994 (See survey this issue).
