Season

With the winter heating season totaling 14% warmer than normalso far, gas utilities will be hard pressed to prevent seriousearnings declines. As a result, Nicor ran out and bought a weatherinsurance policy for fiscal year 2000 that is designed to provideprotection from the financial impact of unusually warm weather.

Despite the coldest weather of the season, the futures markettumbled lower yesterday as traders relieved technical overboughtconditions by unloading new long positions. Cash prices, whichslipped for only the second time in eight trading sessions, werealso seen as a negative factor. After opening near the bottom ofMonday’s wide trading range, bears wasted little time takingJanuary down 10.7 cents to settle at $2.522.

For the most part yesterday cash prices carved out increases asTropical Storm Harvey lent some support to the East and maintenanceissues helped strengthen prices along the West Coast and Rockies.Yet mild weather nationwide, the expected American Gas Associationstorage report of higher-than-normal injections and a weak futuresscreen were traders’ main topics of conversation yesterday. And thegeneral consensus is that cash price increases may be hard to comeby for the next few days.

A preliminary look at the Canadian supply situation prior to thewinter heating season shows a greater amount of field gas availablethis year compared to last but less gas in storage and less gas onthe way, according to officials at TransCanada Pipelines.Meanwhile, market demand continues to be strong. The bottom line,said Al Jamal, manager of TransCanada’s Western CanadianSedimentary Basin Strategic Assessment, is “the supply-demandbalance is still tightening up” and will continue to do so given anormal or colder than normal winter and a continuation of flatdrilling activity.

A preliminary look at the Canadian supply situation prior to thewinter heating season shows a greater amount of field gas availablethis year compared to last, but less gas in storage and less gas onthe way, according to officials at TransCanada Pipelines.Meanwhile, market demand continues to be strong. The bottom line,said Al Jamal, manager of TransCanada’s Western CanadianSedimentary Basin Strategic Assessment, is “the supply-demandbalance is still tightening up” and will continue to do so given anormal or colder than normal winter and a continuation of flatdrilling activity.

Palmetto Interstate Pipeline Co., a partnership of SouthernNatural and Carolina Power & Light, said it is extending itsopen season for firm transportation capacity on its proposed systemuntil June 30. Interested parties should contact Sonat’s MarkLimbaugh at (800) 633-8570 or CP&L’s Rob Caldwell at (919)546-4552. Palmetto is planning to build a line that would run fromSonat’s terminus in Aiken, SC, to an interconnect with NorthCarolina Natural Gas – which is being purchased by CP&L – inRoberson, NC. CP&L plans to subscribe for a substantial portionof Palmetto’s 200 MMcf/d to 300 MMcf/d capacity to fuel newelectric generation being developed in the Carolinas, with theremainder to be used to increase regional gas availability.CP&L said it plans to build 4,000 MW of gas-fueled generationin the Carolinas by 2007. Palmetto said it plans to have Phase I ofits system in service in April 2002 with up to 300 MMcf/d ofcapacity. Two later phases in the following two years would addcapacity to the system.

Transco extended Thursday the open season for FT service on itsSundance Expansion Project, originally scheduled to end June 1,through June 18. Sundance will provide extra capacity from Station65 in Louisiana to Station 165 in Virginia and is proposed to beginservice by April 1,2002.

An open season for up to 100 MMcf/d of firm transportationcapacity in the Sacramento Delta region of northern California isset for May 10 through the end of June by Western Gas Resources(WGR), which is planning to make an existing gas pipeline,gathering and delivery system an open-access, state-regulatedoperation. The state regulatory process to make the change willbegin June 8 with a pre-hearing conference in San Francisco.

Canadian producers expect their natural gas prices to rise by asmuch as 60% when the next heating season catches up with effects ofthe 1998-99 drilling slump.