The swing trading pattern immediately following Christmas didn’tseem very much different from the days preceding the holiday: agenerally softer market, with declines of up to a dime Monday atmost points, arrayed against conspicuously higher prices fordeliveries into the New York City area. One thing that did change,however, was generally flat numbers for the Rockies and California,markets that had participated in the overall weakness last week.
Pattern
Articles from Pattern
Short of Influences, Market Decides to Stand Pat
Absent anything in the way of new influences from weather orfutures, most of the market went into a holding pattern Thursday.Mild softness permeated much of the general flatness as what wasconsidered a bullish storage injection report Wednesday afternoonfailed to provide support for cash prices. Northeast citygates fellabout a nickel, resuming their decline after a brief respite fromthe softness that had prevailed since the first of the month.
Swing Prices Flat; July Numbers Reported Up a Bit
A holding pattern developed Thursday at the majority of tradingpoints, which were flat to up or down a penny or two for an overallreading of flatness. The market was hardly a model of consistency,though, as price movement ranged from about two cents lower in theRockies to increases of about a nickel or more for the Appalachianpipes and Northeast citygates. High temperatures in the mid 80sThursday in the dry Northeast were a close match for those in therain-drenched South.
Futures: What Can’t Go Up Must Come Down
After three consecutive days marked by the bullish pattern ofhigher highs and higher lows, the futures market receded yesterdayon a wave of selling pressure by both commercial and local traders.June wilted into its daily close, tumbling 8.1 cents lower tofinish at $2.262.
Move to Upside Breaks Cash Flatness Pattern
Cash prices hinted Thursday that they’re not ready to settleinto the same kind of stagnation period that characterized much ofFebruary’s activity. Riding the momentum of a rising Henry Hubfutures contract, stronger crude oil futures (back over $13/bbl)and snowy weather in various regions, nearly all points roseanywhere from 2 cents to a dime with most increases in the vicinityof a nickel.
Mild Softening Changes the Flatness Routine
A break in the flat price pattern that has dominated the overallcash market during February came Tuesday, and appropriately it wasto the downside, where many sources had long expected prices to beheaded because of mild weather, a softening screen and a massivestorage surplus for this late in the winter season.
Lower Weekend Demand Softens West; East Flat
Eastern markets maintained the week’s general pattern of flatpricing Friday, even eking out small increases here and there. TheWest tended to be a little softer due to the usual weekend fall-offin demand, but the declines there were fairly minuscule at no morethan 1-4 cents down in nearly every case.
Prices Hit Plateau, But Weekend Weakness Seen
The cash market, seeing essentially nothing in the way ofdirectional influence, went into a holding pattern Thursday withfew points straying any further than 2-3 cents on either side offlat. A screen drop of just under a penny was deemedinconsequential, and even though some market areas were seeingnear-freezing temperatures Thursday, forecasts of warmer weatherfor the weekend through the middle of next week tempered any buyingenthusiasm.
Futures Market Slips in Pre-AGA Trading
The futures market continued to move in a choppy,sideways-trading pattern Wednesday, as traders tried to influence amove outside Tuesday’s broad trading range. But the Decembercontract could only muster a 6-cent range yesterday, which producedan inside day on daily charts. Trade selling set in as Decemberreached its $2.435 high and pushed the prompt month down to itseventual $2.395 settlement price.
Storm, Storage has Futures in Volatile Pattern
For the second Wednesday in a row, ebbing concerns of tropicalstorms and a “buy the rumor, sell the event” mentality has put themarket under selling pressure. In the wake of Hurricane Earl lastweek the October contract sank 13.4 cents. This Wednesday, themarket was already in the process of giving back some of Tuesday’sgains even before Tropical Depression number 6 became TropicalStorm Frances. That left the October contract down 4.1 cents tosettle at $1.833 yesterday.