natural gas forecast

Price Support Growing in Long-Term Natural Gas Market Outlook 

Price Support Growing in Long-Term Natural Gas Market Outlook 

Natural gas prices have been lifting off lackluster levels, responding to some moderately bullish fundamentals that could become increasingly supportive and drive prices back as high as the $4.000/MMBtu range by 2025, according to NGI. The Henry Hub spot natural gas price fell 19.5 cents day/day to an average of $1.465 late last week. The…

March 7, 2024
Lofty Natural Gas Storage Levels Keeping Ceiling on U.S. Prices – For Now

Lofty Natural Gas Storage Levels Keeping Ceiling on U.S. Prices – For Now

Natural gas in U.S. storage remains swollen, reflecting an exceptionally mild winter and record levels of production. The one-two punch weighed on prices through most of the heating season and raised concerns about an enduring bear market. Yet elevated supplies in storage may ultimately lose much of the current bearish bite. Prices see-sawed over the…

March 6, 2024
How Long Could U.S. Natural Gas Stay Below $2? Forecasts Say Not Long If E&Ps Turn Off ‘Spigot’

How Long Could U.S. Natural Gas Stay Below $2? Forecasts Say Not Long If E&Ps Turn Off ‘Spigot’

U.S. natural gas markets are looking dire for sellers, with futures diving near depths last seen during the Covid-19 pandemic. Several catalysts lie ahead, though, that could create a floor and set the stage for a rebound, according to analysts. The March New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) contract fell below the $2.000/MMBtu level on Feb.…

February 15, 2024
Dallas Fed Survey Shows Strengthened Natural Gas, Oil Price Outlook as Service Costs Remain Stubbornly High

Dallas Fed Survey Shows Strengthened Natural Gas, Oil Price Outlook as Service Costs Remain Stubbornly High

Oil and gas executives in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District have modestly increased their expectations for the U.S. natural gas price by year-end, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The Dallas Fed, as it is better known, conducts a quarterly survey of energy companies in the district, which covers…

September 28, 2023
Big Role for Natural Gas, Oil as World Transitions to Lower Carbon, Says Wood Mackenzie

Big Role for Natural Gas, Oil as World Transitions to Lower Carbon, Says Wood Mackenzie

Global energy demand is set to rise as income and population grow, with natural gas, oil and coal in 2050 still meeting more than half of total consumption, in part because of the high cost of new technologies, according to Wood Mackenzie. The consultancy’s 2023 Energy Transition Outlook (ETO) highlights the “energy challenge trinity” impacting…

September 21, 2023
ExxonMobil Warns Dip in Natural Gas Price Realizations to Pressure 2Q Profits

ExxonMobil Warns Dip in Natural Gas Price Realizations to Pressure 2Q Profits

Lower natural gas prices and refining margins may pull ExxonMobil’s second quarter profits down from the first three months of the year by nearly $4 billion. In a Form 8-K filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the supermajor previewed the factors impacting 2Q2023 results. ExxonMobil is facing the same dilemma as its peers…

July 6, 2023
Lenders Sharply Lower Natural Gas Price Forecast, Potentially Impacting E&P Borrowing Capacity

Lenders Sharply Lower Natural Gas Price Forecast, Potentially Impacting E&P Borrowing Capacity

Banks that lend to the oil and gas sector have substantially reduced their expectations for natural gas prices over the next couple years, according to a new survey by Haynes and Boone LLP. The law firm conducts a biannual Energy Bank Price Deck Survey of banks that offer reserve-based lending (RBL), a vital funding source…

April 27, 2023
EIA Further Slashes Henry Hub Natural Gas Forecast After Record-Warmth in January, February

EIA Further Slashes Henry Hub Natural Gas Forecast After Record-Warmth in January, February

Amid lower-than-expected heating demand this winter, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said Tuesday it is raising its projected end-March natural gas storage carryout to more than 1.9 Tcf, a 27% increase compared to projections issued in January. A 1.9 Tcf end-March carryout would also represent a 23% surplus to the prior five-year average, EIA said…

March 9, 2023
Shell Sees U.S. LNG Playing Outsized Role in Global Natural Gas Markets

Shell Sees U.S. LNG Playing Outsized Role in Global Natural Gas Markets

The U.S. natural gas market is expected to have a greater impact on the global LNG trade in the future as more projects are built and the world’s supply contracts are increasingly tied to Henry Hub, Shell plc reported Thursday in its annual liquefied natural gas outlook.  Qatar and the United States are expected to…

February 16, 2023
EIA Says Summer Weather, Production and Economy to Drive 2023 Natural Gas Prices

EIA Says Summer Weather, Production and Economy to Drive 2023 Natural Gas Prices

U.S. natural gas prices are expected to prove volatile through much of 2023, though the lofty $10 handle approached last summer appears far from reach, given ample supplies and the specter of a recession. Such is the assessment of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) in a report released Thursday. In the supplement to its latest…

February 9, 2023
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