Momentum

Feeding off momentum gained in both the regular and accesstrading sessions Wednesday, the futures market muscled higheryesterday as the May contract notched its highest price since lastNovember. After gapping higher to open at $2.215, May traded mostlysideways Thursday morning before an early afternoon buying surgemapped out yesterday’s high price at $2.23. The contract finishedjust off that level at $2.225, a 5.1-cent advance on the day.

Feeding off strength from Wednesday’s minor advance, the futuresmarket seemed to pick up momentum yesterday. A stronger open gainedapproval from eager bulls, who bid the contract steadily upwardThursday morning. Then after an early afternoon sell-off wasthwarted, prices again pressed higher, but this time buying camefrom all market segments as locals, trade, and paper players joinedthe rally. The April contract finished up 7.6 cents at $1.835.

As many traders had expected, prices were unable to sustain thestrong upward momentum with which they began the week. Even asblizzard conditions got worse Tuesday in several major marketareas, quotes for today’s gas flow were flat to as much as a nickellower. Apparently utilities and other end-users started leaningmuch more heavily on their storage accounts after Monday’s cashrun-up left many points trading well above first-of-month indexes,especially in Eastern markets, one source said.

All the ingredients were present for natural gas futures tocontinue higher yesterday: momentum from last week’s advances,single digit temperatures in much of the West and Midwest and achart gap that was “just waiting to be filled.” But all of thosefactors, plus the official start of winter, were no match for theoverabundance of stored gas. After a brief attempt at last week’shighs the market came under strong selling pressure on Monday. Theprompt January contract slipped 12.7 cents to settle at $1.947.

Feeding off positive momentum from Wednesday’s active tradingsession, natural gas futures trundled higher yesterday as tradersgauged the persistent issues of storage and weather. And while thatfollow-through was enough to boost the prompt January contract up7.4 cents to $2.064 for the day, 4 cents of that was notched in theWednesday night Access session, leaving some bulls to suggest thatyesterday’s movement was disappointing.

A new battle in utility deregulation gained momentum last weekwhen the Electric Power Supply Association (EPSA) published aletter urging the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC) toreject Florida Power Corp.’s petition to forgo competitive biddingfor construction of Hines 2, a second gas-fired generation plant atits Hines Energy Complex in Polk County, FL.

Joining a sports marketing push that is picking up momentumamong energy companies nationally, Sempra Energy has inked acombination energy services and promotional deal with the operatorsof a new basketball-hockey arena being built in downtown LosAngeles. Sempra’s CEO indicated this was just the first of a seriesof “major branding initiatives” the newly formed San Diego-basedutility holding company will be rolling out over the next 12months.

The futures market was poised to trade higher yesterday onmomentum gained from a string of advances dating back to lastThursday, but revised forecasts calling for seasonable temperaturesand a lack of technical direction took the wind out of bull-tradersails, allowing the market to slip lower. For the second day in arow, changes were more pronounced in the December contract than theprompt month. November slid 2.2 cents lower to settle at $2.18, butDecember lost 2.8 cents to $2.455.

As a Daily GPI source had predicted Monday, that day’s futuresrun-up provided enough momentum to keep most cash market points onthe rise Tuesday. But don’t bet the farm on cash firmness tocontinue today, not after the screen’s headlong plunge Tuesday,several traders said. Despite heat waves remaining in the West andSouth, there is not enough in the way of fundamentals to counterthe screen’s negative influence, they said.