Late

PG&E Gas Transmission-Northwest discovered contaminated oilin the lubrication system of its Stanfield (OR) Compressor Stationlate last week. The unit is out of service until the oil can bereplace; the pipeline estimates it will return on-line Thursday.Because the work has the potential for limiting Stanfield receiptsfrom Northwest Pipeline, PG&E GT-NW is offering a blanket ITdiscount of 1 cent plus fuel on the Starr Road-to-Stanfield paththrough Thursday.

Access trading kept traders on their toes late last week. Aftera more than 7-cent rally in last Wednesday’s computer-only tradingsession, the June contract doubled back Thursday evening, slippingmore than 5 cents lower before Friday’s open. And the selling wouldnot stop there as bears continued their push toward lower pricesthroughout the trading session Friday. June finished down 8.6 centsfor the day at $2.253.

“You can’t win the game if you give the ball away” was aseemingly logical but somewhat superfluous observation made byHoward Cosell on Monday Night Football back in the 1980s. If Cosellwere to have commented on the natural gas futures market yesterday,he probably would have said something like, “The market couldn’tmove lower because there was no additional selling.” And althoughthat comment would also have been redundant, it aptly describes thenature of yesterday’s price action at the New York MercantileExchange, where once early selling dried up, the market was free tobubble higher in near-frictionless trade. The May contract finishedup 3.2 cents to $2.128.

Technical analysis was originated by Charles Dow in the late1800s as an attempt to interpret recurring historical pricemovements displayed by a group of stocks, which have since evolvedinto today’s Dow Jones Industrial Average. He would have been proudof the natural gas futures market last week. For four days the Maycontract ebbed and flowed within a 10-cent trading range until itbroke higher Friday in a technical buying spree. But as if it werefollowing the same script rehearsed during the prior two tradingdays, the May contract couldn’t hold onto its gains Friday,releasing them in the form of profit taking ahead of the weekend.The May contract capped the week with a 2.7-cent advance to $2.096after notching a $2.15 high.

The mini-rallies reported at several points in Wednesday’s latecash trading apparently carried over into Thursday, resulting in aflat to slightly higher March swing market. A strong showing byHenry Hub futures on Nymex helped give cash a boost, sources said.In addition, there was enough chillier weather in the midwesternand northeastern market areas to have an impact on heating load.

Chevron announced late Friday it adjusted its 1998 earnings toaccommodate $637 million in “potential losses” due to an OklahomaSupreme Court decision last week affirming a lower court’s rulingagainst the integrated oil and gas company. Chevron said it stillplans to seek aggressive review of the case.

The surprisingly small storage withdrawal last week of 69 Bcf,as reported late Wednesday by the American Gas Association, tookthe blame for a 12.1-cent tumble in the April Henry Hub futurescontract yesterday. Most observers were expecting about 110 Bcf tobe withdrawn, so the AGA report was enough to trigger along-awaited correction. Heavy selling sent the front-month Nymexgas futures contract cascading down throughout the day to a low of$1.810 before closing at $1.820.

Too little, too late was the apt expression for the futuresmarket yesterday, which continued lower despite what someconsidered to be the most constructive fundamentals yet thiswinter. And so the April contract took a page out of the Marchcontract’s playbook, slipping 3.8 cents to $1.659 amid a tight,6-cent trading range. Estimated volume was high for the usuallyquiet day-after expiration with 65,714 contracts changing hands.

Maybe it was the urge to converge that had quotes droppingWednesday for both late-February and March bidweek deals. Theincremental softness remained on the mild side as a few pointsmanaged flat showings and most of the others were down by about anickel or less. Once again the bigger declines of 15 cents or morecame at Northeast citygates as they continued to retreat fromMonday’s cold weather-related price spikes.