Flattening

The Permian Basin, as well as the Eagle Ford and Bakken shales, which today are considered the “big three” drivers of U.S. oil production, would remain economic at current costs if West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices were to fall to $65/bbl, according to an analysis by Raymond James & Associates Inc. In fact, 13 of 20 onshore oil plays evaluated would breakeven below $65 using current costs, said analysts.

Dry natural gas production from the Barnett Shale during the first half of this year increased 6% compared with the year-ago period. Total liquids production was up 7%, mainly on a 12% gain in oil production (see chart). But the Barnett rig count has declined 25% from a year ago. Clearly, producers there are doing more with less, and it’s because they have “learned by doing.”

While overall production is flattening out, shale play areas in the Rockies will continue to grow, making the region the main natural gas source for the West in the future, according to Ultra Petroleum Corp. marketing vice president Stuart Nance.

While overall production is flattening out, individual shale play areas in the Rockies will continue to grow, making the region the main future natural gas source for the West, according to Ultra Petroleum Corp. marketing vice president Stuart Nance.

Although the cash market’s downslide looked like it wasflattening out Wednesday in most instances except for California,sources tended to regard it as merely a resting place before moresoftness sets in. A majority of points ranged from moderatelysofter to a few cents higher, with the largest gains being realizedin the chilling Northeast. The Southern California border plungedand the PG&E citygate fell by about 40 cents.