Fall

Gas supply this year is expected to fall below last year’slevels and will struggle to meet projected demand, the IndependentPetroleum Association of America indicated in a report released toinvestors in New York yesterday. With the gas rig count down abouta third compared to 1998 levels, U.S. production is expected to bedown 1.2% this year to 18.75 Tcf, while gas imports are expected torise 2.7% to about 3.22 Tcf, and gas demand is expected to shoot up3.2% to 21.97 Tcf.

Avista Corp. of Spokane, WA, its first-quarter earnings pershare could fall as much as 15 cents per share below securitiesanalysts’ current consensus first quarter estimate of 49 cents pershare. However, CEO T.M. Matthews said the company is stillcomfortable with analyst expectations of earnings for the year ofbetween $1.55-$1.65 per share

The usual demand fall-off associated with a holiday weekendfailed to prevent Friday’s cash market from rejecting the slightlysofter trend that had appeared to be developing Thursday. Insteadthe long-lasting trend of little to no price movement reasserteditself at nearly all points. A Western source said recent tradinghas been “like that movie Groundhog Day, because every morning Iwake up and the market is at the same place. The only difference isAndie McDowell [Bill Murray’s female co-star in the movie] has yetto show up.”

None of Williams’ three main subsidiaries matched 1997 earningslevels, the company said Thursday, as it announced a total 1998 netincome of $140.7 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, down from$368.3 million, or $0.85 per diluted share in 1997. For the fourthquarter, Williams posted a net loss of $20.2 million or $0.05 perdiluted share versus a net income of $57.5 million or $0.13 perdiluted share in 1997. Company officials blamed poor marketconditions, large accrual and impairment amounts, and disappointingresults in the communications business as reasons for the poorperformance.

Records for low temperatures were being set Tuesday from theMidwest into the Southeast, but it would have been difficult todiscern that from the broad-based retreat in cash prices. Tradersnoted a falling futures screen and factored in a warming trend thatwas expected to begin in the Midwest as early as Tuesday, then sentcash numbers down by a nickel or more at almost every point.

KN Energy said it will take a fourth quarter charge as 1998earnings will fall short of market expectations due to record warmweather during November and most of December, plus a decline innatural gas processing marginsto about 1 cent, and lowertransportation revenues.

TransCanada PipeLines has filed an application with the NationalEnergy Board (NEB) to build a 61-mile, 36-inch diameter pipelineacross Lake Erie. The line would provide the upstream supplyconnection for the proposed Millennium Pipeline project, whichwould extend to New York City.

PG&E Corp. suffered an 11% net earnings loss for the thirdquarter, reporting earnings of 55 cents per share ($210 million),compared with 62 cents per share ($257 million) for 3Q97. Thecompany attributed the majority of the decline to utilitysubsidiary Pacific Gas and Electric’s pending 1999 general ratecase and a change in the way revenues are recorded as a result ofthe deregulation of California’s electric industry. The utilitysubsidiary is earning below its authorized rate of return, a trendthat is expected to continue until the rate case is resolved earlynext year.

After gapping lower at the open for the second day in a row,natural gas futures continued to free-fall in lackluster holidaytrading Monday. Weak cash market pricing and a quicklydeteriorating technical picture were cited as reasons for the10.2-cent decline in the November contract. By settling at $2.089,November has dropped over 30 cents in the last three tradingsessions.