Essentially

The closest thing to a production threat that the Gulf of Mexicohas had so far this year failed to cause any ripples in cash pricesMonday. Eastern quotes ranged from barely higher to about a nickeldown, while western numbers reacted mostly to renewed heat waves inCalifornia and the desert Southwest, in ranging from flat to abouta dime higher.

Except for the deep-water Gulf of Mexico, major producers haveessentially “thrown in the towel” in the U.S. oil and gas marketand are traipsing overseas to find their fortunes, a top executivewith The Coastal Corp. said last week. As a result, he believesmost of the burden to supply a 30 Tcf natural gas market in theUnited States will fall to independent producers.

Except for the deep-water Gulf of Mexico, major producers haveessentially “thrown in the towel” in the U.S. oil and gas marketand are traipsing overseas to find their fortunes, a top executivewith The Coastal Corp. said yesterday. As a result, he believesmost of the burden to supply a 30 Tcf natural gas market will fallto the independent producers.

With freezing temperatures essentially a no-show throughout theU.S., cash prices continued to decline in most markets Wednesday,with the biggest declines occurring in the supply-engorged Rockies.However, except for western points most of the softness was mild,and some Northeast citygates registered moderate upticks.

Following the lead of an essentially flat screen during most ofthe cash trading period, the spot market leveled off Wednesday,with small upticks outweighing the few small declines. An Arcticcold front was moving eastward toward the Midwest and eventually tothe Northeast, making citygates tend to rise a bit more thanproduction-area points.

As expected, Christmas Eve was pretty much a non-event in thecash market. Virtually all holiday weekend business through todayhad been taken care of Wednesday, and though a number of tradersdid put in brief appearances at the office Thursday, they didlittle more than check what futures was doing in an abbreviatedtrading session. “We had to come in for the first half of the dayor else count it as a whole vacation day,” one marketer commented.

Essentially nothing had changed in the fundamental demandpicture Tuesday, and late-November cash prices responded with verylittle change themselves. Minuscule softness dominated at mostpoints, and the few declines rarely exceeded a nickel. Sources indiverse regions continued to report unseasonably mild temperatures.

The cash market, seeing essentially nothing in the way ofdirectional influence, went into a holding pattern Thursday withfew points straying any further than 2-3 cents on either side offlat. A screen drop of just under a penny was deemedinconsequential, and even though some market areas were seeingnear-freezing temperatures Thursday, forecasts of warmer weatherfor the weekend through the middle of next week tempered any buyingenthusiasm.

The cash market continued to muddle around with essentially nodirection for a second straight day Friday, leaving weekend numbersmostly unchanged. The few drops of about a nickel occurred atWestern points-intra-Alberta, Stanfield, Malin and SouthernCalifornia border-and chiefly resulted from the lifting of supplyand/or transportation constraints that allowed more gas back intothe market.