Data

The November natural gas futures contract closed down 3.1 centsyesterday at $2.824 after trimming gains notched earlier in thesession. After a spirited sell-off in Tuesday’s Access trading, thenewly crowned prompt month erupted higher Wednesday to print a$2.94 high as buyers picked up contracts which they hope willrepresent bargains heading into the winter heating season. Byafternoon, however, the market banter had turned once again tobearish storage predictions and that pressured the market lower inlight trade.

To say the weekly storage report has had an impact on thenatural gas futures market lately would be a gross understatement.Following an impressive 69 Bcf injection on Sept. 1, the futuresmarket dropped 26.6 cents the very next day. Then a week later,following the release of a relatively small 66 Bcf refill, themarket took a wild, 24-cent ride higher to close the session in themid-$2.80s. Now, a week later the question that everyone is askingis whether we will see another big move today. At first glance theanswer to that question was a resounding “yes” because shortlyafter the storage figures were released the October contracttumbled a dime lower in after-hours Access trading.

The recent running of the bulls in Pamplona, Spain, seems prettytame compared to the stampede developing in the gas market. It wasa more hectic Nymex closing day than usual Wednesday as a mildincrease in the last day of trading August futures was accompaniedby what one source called a “pitiful” little AGA storage injectionreport, Michigan electric utilities appealing a day in advance forenergy conservation, a skyrocketing Access session and higher Julyswing numbers. All in all, it added up to an extremely strongmarket that “there doesn’t seem to be any way of stopping,” a Texasmarketer said.

Following the lead established late Monday, natural gas futurescontinued higher yesterday day as short-term traders bought intothe rally. The August contract closed up 3.2 cents at $2.176,shortly after notching its $2.18 high trade for the day.

Warm temperatures in major eastern cities and apprehension aboutthe possibility of “another bullish storage report” gave bulls thereason to buoy the market higher yesterday, and they did notsquander the opportunity. Buying, led mainly by commercial traders,sent the July contract up to a retest of its previous open outcrysession high of $2.41 before settling at $2.407. Estimated volumewas 73,884.

Working gas levels in storage at the end of the winter heatingseason have been revised by the Energy Information Administration(EIA) after a report from ANR Pipeline that 47 Bcf of working gasin its Michigan storage facilities was reclassified as base gas.The change means working gas levels at the end of the winterheating season were 3% lower than first reported by the EIA, or1,430 Bcf compared to 1,477 Bcf.

The Energy Information Administration reported that 47 Bcf ofworking gas in Michigan storage facilities was reclassified as basegas in March, which means working gas levels at the end of thewinter heating season were 3% lower than first reported, or 1,430Bcf compared to 1,477.

In response to a data request from CNG’s board, Columbia EnergyGroup extended its deadline to May 10 for the CNG board to respondto its unsolicited merger proposal. CNG asked for additionalinformation on a two-way collar mechanism in Columbia’s $6.7billion bid for the company (see NGI, April 26).

Light short-covering gently prodded the futures market higheryesterday as traders surveyed the prospect of a sizable storagewithdrawal reported in the American Gas Association’s storagereport this afternoon. The prompt February contract led all others,advancing 4.2 cents to settle at $1.821. With that small gain, themarket ended a five-day, 25-cent slide.