Assumptions

NatGas Supply Possibly Priced Out of Market Without Rebalance, Says BNP Analyst

Unseasonably warm winter weather to date has reduced the traditional call on natural gas held in storage, which may lead to an “unmanageable level of inventories” by the end of the injection season and increase physical congestion through 2016, BNP Paribas’ director of commodities strategy said Tuesday. Moody’s Investors Service also has sharply reduced its price assumptions for U.S. gas.

December 15, 2015

S&P Cuts Henry Hub Price Outlook With Shift to Appalachia, Lower Marginal Costs

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services (S&P) analysts on Thursday revised lower the firm’s price assumptions for crude oil and Henry Hub natural gas to reflect the shift in near-term futures price curves and a projection that marginal production costs would be lower because of improved drilling efficiencies by exploration and production companies.

September 24, 2015
S&P Cuts 2015 Natural Gas Price Assumptions by 75 Cents

S&P Cuts 2015 Natural Gas Price Assumptions by 75 Cents

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services (S&P) on Thursday lowered its Henry Hub natural gas price assumption to $2.75/MMBtu in 2015, down 75 cents from a forecast in January.

March 27, 2015

Moody’s Cuts Natural Gas Price Assumptions Through 2015

North American natural gas prices should rise eventually on demand from new petrochemical plants and the start-up of export facilities, but it won’t be until later this decade, Moody’s Investors Service analysts said Thursday in cutting price assumptions through 2015.

September 18, 2014

Raymond James Raises 4Q, 2013 Natural Gas Price Forecast

Raymond James & Associates Inc. last week raised its 4Q2012 natural gas price assumptions by 75 cents and lifted the 2013 forecast by 50 cents, predicting 1Q2013 price “spikes to near $5.00/Mcf.”

November 5, 2012

U.S. Natural Gas Prices May Spike to ‘Near $5’ in Early 2013

Raymond James & Associates Inc. on Monday raised its 4Q2012 natural gas price assumptions by 75 cents and lifted the 2013 forecast by 50 cents, predicting 1Q2013 price “spikes to near $5.00/Mcf.”

October 30, 2012

Raymond James Raises 4Q, 2013 Natural Gas Price Forecast

Raymond James & Associates Inc. on Monday raised its 4Q2012 natural gas price assumptions by 75 cents and lifted the 2013 forecast by 50 cents, predicting 1Q2013 price “spikes to near $5.00/Mcf.”

October 30, 2012

NGL Price Weakness Seen Continuing

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services (S&P) has revised its natural gas liquids (NGL) pricing assumptions for 2012, 2013 and 2014. And analysts at Wells Fargo Securities last week warned that some might be caught off guard by continuing weakness in the sector.

June 18, 2012

It’s a Wet, Oily World, Says Raymond James

The “perma-bulls” at Raymond James & Associates Inc. have dialed back their assumptions for the U.S. natural gas rig count and giving in to the inevitable: low prices are taking down rigs in the gas patch. The good news: there’s “blistering” growth for oil and liquids drillers.

January 31, 2012

Industry Cautioned About Shale ‘Euphoria’

While the opportunities associated with shale gas are “quite great,” an executive with a leading global investment firm Thursday cautioned industry about the “current euphoria around shale,” saying it could be “wrong-minded” if the challenges are not considered.

May 23, 2011
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