Anticipation

Trio of Bullish Fundamentals Only Results in 13-Cent Gain

In a typical case of “buy the rumor, sell the fact,” August natural gas futures pushed higher in early Thursday morning trade in anticipation of a bullish storage injection for the week ending July 16. However, once the news broke of a 51 Bcf injection, front-month values came off a bit. While the August contract went on to close the session 13 cents higher at $4.643, some market watchers were surprised the rally wasn’t larger considering the bullish injection, extended summer heat and a tropical depression bearing down on the Gulf of Mexico.

July 23, 2010

Smallish Storage Build Gives Futures a Boost

After working natural gas futures values higher in Thursday morning trade in anticipation of a lean storage report, traders had their suspicions confirmed as the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that 60 Bcf was injected into underground stores for the week ending June 25. Following a day of spirited trading within a wide 40-cent range, August natural gas futures ended up finishing Thursday’s regular session at $4.854, up 23.8 cents from Wednesday’s close.

July 2, 2010

Futures Reach Six-Month Low on 11 Bcf Storage Build

After dipping below $4 in anticipation of a bearish natural gas storage injection in Thursday morning’s report for the week ending March 19, confirmation that 11 Bcf was injected last week — two weeks earlier than normal — dropped April natural gas futures even lower before the contract closed at $3.981, down 12.4 cents from Wednesday’s close.

March 26, 2010

Futures Reach Six-Month Low on 11 Bcf Storage Build

After dipping below $4 in anticipation of a bearish natural gas storage injection in Thursday morning’s report for the week ending March 19, confirmation that 11 Bcf was injected last week — two weeks earlier than normal — dropped April natural gas futures even lower before the contract closed at $3.981, down 12.4 cents from Wednesday’s close.

March 26, 2010

Gas Drilling: ‘Meaningfully Higher’ in 2010?

Considering a decline in service costs, acreage leasehold expirations, an increase in oil drilling and the anticipation of higher natural gas prices, U.S. rig count assumptions for 2010 weren’t optimistic enough, energy analysts said last week.

January 25, 2010

North American Gas Drilling Seen ‘Meaningfully Higher’ in 2010

Considering a decline in service costs, acreage leasehold expirations, an increase in oil drilling and the anticipation of higher natural gas prices, U.S. rig count assumptions for 2010 weren’t optimistic enough, energy analysts said Tuesday.

January 20, 2010

January Gains Another 14.3 Cents, Yet Analysts See No Bull Run

January natural gas futures made another stout gain Tuesday as traders bought contracts in anticipation of continued cold weather.

December 9, 2009

‘Little Evidence’ Seen for Gas Demand Uptick in Near Term

Natural gas and oil prices are no longer connected, and strong gas supplies, the anticipation of warmer winters and a weak economy provide little evidence that prices will reconnect in the near future, according to Ernst & Young (E&Y). However, regulatory pressure to decrease carbon emissions could lift gas demand and prices, E&Y said Monday in its 4Q2009 outlook for the energy industry.

November 2, 2009

Ernst & Young: ‘Little Evidence’ for Gas Demand Uptick in Near Term

Natural gas and oil prices are no longer connected, and strong gas supplies, the anticipation of warmer winters and a weak economy provide little evidence that prices will reconnect in the near future, according to Ernst & Young (E&Y). However, regulatory pressure to decrease carbon emissions could lift gas demand and prices, E&Y said Monday in its 4Q2009 outlook for the energy industry.

October 27, 2009

CFTC Looks to Stay in Front of Carbon Market Juggernaut

In anticipation of a robust market for carbon emissions credits, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is discussing how to keep track of what could become the largest commodity market in the world ($2 trillion within five years) if climate change legislation becomes law later this year.

May 18, 2009