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Opinions Vary as Futures Bend, But Do Not Break
The futures market opened lower on Thursday, but aftersustaining an initial round of selling, the prompt month managed toclaw its way back up to $1.817, a 0.2 cent decline for the day.That left the September contract still perched just above long term support at $1.78 yesterday, trading within a narrow 4-cent range.Estimated volume registered an unremarkable 40,943.
Looking to today’s activity, the market remains divided whichdirection futures will trend, but most sources agree, the market isdue for a breakout to one side or the other. “[Thursday] was aninside trading day with a lower high and a higher low thanWednesday. I look for sellers to once again test support in themorning, but if they fail, the market may have the incentive tobreak to the upside,” a trader said.
However, another source sees Thursday’s range-bound market asjust another day of consolidation before the bears continue thedowntrend. “We saw fresh weakness in some of the winter monthstoday and that does not paint a very pretty picture for the frontmonths.” December traded down to a low of $2.395 Thursday.
For September, support exists at $1.78 which is Tuesday’s low aswell as the spot low for all of 1997. Resistance is found at recenthighs in the $1.83-84 area and then at $1.915, a chartist advised.
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